ReNew Energy Global PLC (RNW) Q4 2025: Everything You Need to Know Ahead of Earnings
Earnings Release and Estimates: ReNew Energy Global PLC (NASDAQ:RNW) is set to release its Q4 2025 earnings on June 16, 2025, with expected revenue of $0.27 billion and earnings of -$0.50 per share. The full year 2025 estimates show a revenue of $1.12 billion and earnings of $1.01 per share, despite recent declines in revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026.
Analyst Recommendations and Price Targets: Analysts have an average target price of $8.36 for RNW, indicating a potential upside of 22.87% from the current price of $6.80, while GuruFocus estimates a GF Value of $10.31, suggesting a 51.62% upside. The consensus recommendation from brokerage firms is an "Outperform" status, with an average rating of 2.0 on a scale where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell.
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- Record Capacity Addition: ReNew Energy commissioned approximately 2.4 GW of new renewable assets in FY 2026, raising its total operating capacity to 12.6 GW, making it the second-largest renewable energy portfolio in India despite selling 600 MW of assets during the year.
- Diverse Energy Portfolio: The new capacity includes 1.75 GW of solar, 0.62 GW of wind, and 25 MW/100 MWh of battery energy storage systems, with around 450 MW of fully constructed projects expected to be commissioned soon, bringing its gross portfolio close to 20 GW, highlighting its significant position in the global clean energy landscape.
- Growing Commercial Investments: ReNew Green's commercial and industrial arm has 2.5 GW of committed capacity and attracted a $95 million equity investment in March, indicating its market appeal and growth potential.
- Manufacturing Capacity Expansion: The company's solar manufacturing business currently has 6.5 GW of module and 2.5 GW of cell capacity, with plans to expand by an additional 4 GW by December 2026, further solidifying its competitive edge in the renewable energy sector.
- Record Annual Commissioning: ReNew commissioned approximately 2.4 GW of assets in FY2026, bringing its total operating capacity to around 12.6 GW, making it the second largest renewable energy company in India, underscoring its leadership in the green transformation.
- Battery Energy Storage Expansion: The newly commissioned capacity includes 25 MW/100 MWh of battery energy storage systems, enhancing the company's energy flexibility and market competitiveness, with the potential to provide clean energy to 24 million households.
- Manufacturing Capacity Growth: ReNew's solar module and cell manufacturing capacities stand at 6.5 GW and 2.5 GW respectively, with plans to expand by an additional 4 GW by December 2026, demonstrating its strong position in the global solar market.
- Strategic Investment Support: The company secured a $95 million equity investment from Leapfrog Investments in March 2026, further solidifying its market share in the commercial and industrial sectors while attracting global tech giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google as partners.
- Investment Scale and Context: ReNew Energy Global Plc announces a $95 million equity investment for its commercial and industrial platform, ReNew Green, led by LeapFrog Investments with a direct commitment of $50 million, reflecting strong confidence in sustainable energy solutions.
- Market Potential: ReNew Green boasts a 2.5 GW committed capacity in India's clean energy portfolio, with over 2.0 GW already commissioned and long-term agreements with global tech leaders like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, underscoring its significant position in a rapidly growing market.
- Industry Impact: According to government data, the C&I sector accounts for approximately 50% of India's total electricity consumption, with only 7% currently sourced from renewables, presenting a substantial market opportunity for scaling renewable solutions.
- Sustainability Strategy: LeapFrog's investment not only supports ReNew's clean energy objectives but also ensures measurable social and environmental outcomes through its proprietary impact measurement framework, focusing on emissions reduction, job creation, and governance practices.
- Significant Funding: ReNew Green Energy Solutions has secured a substantial $95 million equity investment, led by LeapFrog Investments' $50 million contribution, reflecting strong market confidence in its clean energy initiatives.
- Diverse Investor Base: The funding also includes support from the Emerging Market Climate Action Fund and Carlyle AlpInvest, enhancing ReNew's investor profile with notable institutions like the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.
- Clean Energy Commitment: Operating one of India's largest clean energy portfolios, ReNew Green Energy Solutions boasts a committed capacity of 2.5 GW, with over 2.0 GW already commissioned, underscoring its market leadership among commercial and industrial clients.
- Long-Term Agreements: Approximately 1.3 GW of this capacity is secured through long-term agreements with major corporations such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, ensuring stable revenue streams and future growth potential.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Total income for Q3 FY26 reached INR 31,372 million (approximately USD 349 million), reflecting a 48.5% year-over-year increase primarily driven by enhanced operational capacity and increased external sales, indicating strong performance in the renewable energy market.
- Improved Net Profit: The net loss for Q3 FY26 decreased to INR 198 million (approximately USD 2 million), a substantial improvement from a loss of INR 3,879 million (approximately USD 43 million) in Q3 FY25, reflecting enhanced financial health driven by external sales and asset gains.
- Increased Generation Capacity: As of December 31, 2025, the company’s commissioned capacity reached 11.7 GW (including 100 MW of BESS), marking a 7% year-over-year increase, which lays a solid foundation for future revenue growth and strengthens market competitiveness.
- Strong External Sales Performance: For the first nine months of FY26, external sales from solar module and cell manufacturing amounted to INR 30,014 million (approximately USD 334 million), nearly an 8-fold increase year-over-year, showcasing rapid expansion and strong demand in the solar manufacturing sector.
- Strong Earnings Report: ReNew Energy's Q3 results show a GAAP EPS of $0.00, beating estimates by $0.10, with revenue of $280 million reflecting a 12.9% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations by $16.96 million, indicating robust performance in the renewable energy sector.
- Capacity Expansion: The company commissioned 288 MW in Q3 FY26, comprising 238 MW of wind and 50 MW of solar, further solidifying its position in the renewable energy market and enhancing its operational capabilities.
- Revised Outlook: ReNew has adjusted its FY2026 outlook, now forecasting the completion of 1.8–2.4 GW of construction by year-end, while noting that Adjusted EBITDA and Cash Flow to Equity remain contingent on weather conditions and resource availability, highlighting market uncertainties.
- Capital Recycling Strategy: The company anticipates continued net gains from asset sales and projects its solar module and cell manufacturing business to contribute INR 11–13 billion in Adjusted EBITDA, thereby enhancing its financial stability and growth prospects.









