RBA minutes: Underscores need to maintain restrictive monetary policy for the time being
Inflation and Monetary Policy: Australia's inflation risks have eased, prompting the Reserve Bank to maintain the cash rate at 4.35%, while emphasizing a data-driven approach for future rate decisions amid persistent global uncertainties and high underlying inflation.
Economic Growth and Consumer Spending: Economic growth was weak in Q3 2024, but recent data shows a potential increase in consumer spending; however, it remains uncertain if this trend will continue, which is crucial for GDP growth and labor market developments.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on FLAU
About the author
Australian CPI Surges to 3.0% in August, Surpassing Expectations and Reaching Yearly High
Consumer Price Index Update: Australia's CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year in August 2025, driven by increasing housing costs, while food inflation remained steady at 3.0%. Core inflation also increased to 3.4%, the highest in 13 months.
Reserve Bank of Australia Insights: RBA Governor Michele Bullock indicated that the economy is stable, suggesting no immediate need for rate cuts, while the Australian Securities Exchange is required to improve its governance and risk management following a trading settlement failure.
Political Meeting Announcement: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is set to meet U.S. President Donald Trump for the first time in Washington, D.C. on October 20, 2025.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.6% after a three-day winning streak, while the Australian dollar strengthened to approximately $0.661 amid reactions to the CPI data.
Australia won't 'join hands' with China to respond to Trump's tariffs - report
Australia's Response to China's Offer: Australia has declined China's proposal to collaborate in response to the trade war, emphasizing its focus on diversifying trade globally rather than aligning with China.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: While President Trump paused certain tariffs, the increase on Chinese goods remains, prompting Australia to enhance its own trade strategies and support affected sectors without directly responding to U.S. actions.
Australia's Feb unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.1%, aligning with expectations
Unemployment and Employment Trends: Australia's unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1% in February, but employment decreased by 52.8 thousand, marking the first drop since March 2024, raising concerns about labor market softness.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index rose by 1.16%, while the Australian dollar fell below $0.635 as traders adjusted their expectations regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy following disappointing jobs data.
Australia’s trade balance exceeds expectations, export growth accelerates and imports decline
Australia's Trade Surplus: In January 2025, Australia's trade surplus rose to AUD 5.62 billion, driven by a 1.3% increase in goods exports to an eleven-month high, while imports decreased by 0.3%.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.57%, reaching its lowest point in ten weeks, while the Australian dollar strengthened to over $0.634 following the positive trade balance data.
Asia markets mixed despite Wall Street rally and upbeat China's PMI data
Market Reactions: Asia-Pacific markets showed mixed results with Japan's indices rising, while China experienced slight declines despite stronger-than-expected PMI data. Investors are cautious ahead of President Trump's new tariffs and the upcoming National People's Congress in China.
Geopolitical and Economic Developments: U.S. stock markets ended higher on Friday, but futures remained volatile as traders await key economic reports, including jobs data. Bitcoin surged nearly 10% following Trump's announcement of a strategic crypto reserve, adding to market dynamics.
Australia’s monthly CPI Indicator held steady at 2.5% in January
Inflation and Construction Data: Australia's Monthly CPI Indicator remained steady at 2.5% in January, with food prices rising significantly; total construction work increased by 0.5% in Q4 2024, missing market expectations.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell to a six-week low, influenced by declining mining stocks and weaker economic data, while the Australian dollar approached two-week lows amid expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
Australian CPI Surges to 3.0% in August, Surpassing Expectations and Reaching Yearly High
Consumer Price Index Update: Australia's CPI rose to 3.0% year-over-year in August 2025, driven by increasing housing costs, while food inflation remained steady at 3.0%. Core inflation also increased to 3.4%, the highest in 13 months.
Reserve Bank of Australia Insights: RBA Governor Michele Bullock indicated that the economy is stable, suggesting no immediate need for rate cuts, while the Australian Securities Exchange is required to improve its governance and risk management following a trading settlement failure.
Political Meeting Announcement: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is set to meet U.S. President Donald Trump for the first time in Washington, D.C. on October 20, 2025.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.6% after a three-day winning streak, while the Australian dollar strengthened to approximately $0.661 amid reactions to the CPI data.
Australia won't 'join hands' with China to respond to Trump's tariffs - report
Australia's Response to China's Offer: Australia has declined China's proposal to collaborate in response to the trade war, emphasizing its focus on diversifying trade globally rather than aligning with China.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: While President Trump paused certain tariffs, the increase on Chinese goods remains, prompting Australia to enhance its own trade strategies and support affected sectors without directly responding to U.S. actions.
Australia's Feb unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.1%, aligning with expectations
Unemployment and Employment Trends: Australia's unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1% in February, but employment decreased by 52.8 thousand, marking the first drop since March 2024, raising concerns about labor market softness.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index rose by 1.16%, while the Australian dollar fell below $0.635 as traders adjusted their expectations regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy following disappointing jobs data.
Australia’s trade balance exceeds expectations, export growth accelerates and imports decline
Australia's Trade Surplus: In January 2025, Australia's trade surplus rose to AUD 5.62 billion, driven by a 1.3% increase in goods exports to an eleven-month high, while imports decreased by 0.3%.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.57%, reaching its lowest point in ten weeks, while the Australian dollar strengthened to over $0.634 following the positive trade balance data.
Asia markets mixed despite Wall Street rally and upbeat China's PMI data
Market Reactions: Asia-Pacific markets showed mixed results with Japan's indices rising, while China experienced slight declines despite stronger-than-expected PMI data. Investors are cautious ahead of President Trump's new tariffs and the upcoming National People's Congress in China.
Geopolitical and Economic Developments: U.S. stock markets ended higher on Friday, but futures remained volatile as traders await key economic reports, including jobs data. Bitcoin surged nearly 10% following Trump's announcement of a strategic crypto reserve, adding to market dynamics.
Australia’s monthly CPI Indicator held steady at 2.5% in January
Inflation and Construction Data: Australia's Monthly CPI Indicator remained steady at 2.5% in January, with food prices rising significantly; total construction work increased by 0.5% in Q4 2024, missing market expectations.
Market Reactions: The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell to a six-week low, influenced by declining mining stocks and weaker economic data, while the Australian dollar approached two-week lows amid expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
