Look Under The Hood: MDYG Has 12% Upside
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 29 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analyst Target Price: The SPDR S&P 400 Mid Cap Growth ETF (MDYG) has an implied analyst target price of $98.73, indicating a potential upside of 12.40% from its current trading price of $87.84.
Underlying Holdings Performance: Notable underlying holdings like KBR Inc, Wingstop Inc, and Ollie's Bargain Outlet show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, raising questions about the validity and optimism of these targets.
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Analyst Views on KBR
Wall Street analysts forecast KBR stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 33.520
Low
45.00
Averages
53.67
High
65.00
Current: 33.520
Low
45.00
Averages
53.67
High
65.00
About KBR
KBR, Inc. is engaged in delivering science, technology, and engineering solutions to governments and companies around the world. The Company’s segments include Mission Technology Solutions and Sustainable Technology Solutions. The Mission Technology Solutions segment provides full life-cycle support solutions to defense, intelligence, space, aviation and other programs and missions for military and other government agencies, primarily in the United States, United Kingdom and Australia. The Sustainable Technology Solutions business segment is anchored by its portfolio of approximately 85 proprietary, sustainability-focused process technologies that reduce emissions, increase efficiency and/or accelerate and enable energy transition across the industrial base in four primary verticals: ammonia/syngas, chemical/petrochemicals, clean refining and circular process/circular economy solutions. It also offers services including advisory and consulting focused on energy security.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
KBR Partners with NorSAF to Build Northern Europe's Largest SAF Plant
- Technology Licensing Agreement: KBR has partnered with NorSAF to license its proprietary PureSAF® technology, which is expected to enable the new plant to produce 100,000 tons of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and e-SAF annually, establishing the largest SAF production facility in Northern Europe.
- Production Timeline and Market Impact: The plant is scheduled to commence production in 2030, with distribution aimed at aviation companies across the Baltics, Northern Europe, and additional European markets, aligning with the EU's ambitious climate neutrality goals by 2050 and advancing the decarbonization of the aviation sector.
- Policy-Driven Market Demand: Under the EU's ReFuelEU Aviation Regulation, a minimum SAF blending requirement of 6% will be mandated for aviation fuel supplied at EU airports starting January 2025, progressively increasing to 70% by 2030, creating robust market demand for KBR's technology.
- Energy Sovereignty and Security: Jānis Kisiels, a board member of NorSAF, emphasized that producing 100% drop-in jet fuel at scale using locally sourced European feedstocks enhances regional energy sovereignty and security, reducing dependence on external fossil fuel markets and strengthening Europe's industrial backbone.
See More
KBR Director's Purchase of 3,000 Shares Indicates Bullish Sentiment
- Share Acquisition Details: KBR Director Lewis Von Thaer purchased 3,000 common shares on May 14, 2026, for approximately $92,000, resulting in a 40.77% increase in direct holdings, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Reaction Analysis: The purchase price of $30.77 per share was slightly below the market close of $30.88 on the same day, suggesting that Von Thaer views the current stock price as attractive, despite KBR's stock having declined by 43.70% over the past year.
- Company Financial Overview: KBR reported first-quarter revenue of $1.9 billion, a 5% year-over-year decline, and while the 2026 sales forecast ranges from $7.9 billion to $8.4 billion, the lower end appears underwhelming, potentially affecting investor confidence.
- Strategic Spin-off Plan: KBR's plan to separate its government and sustainability divisions into two publicly traded companies has not yet boosted the stock price; however, Von Thaer's purchase suggests he is optimistic about this strategy, which may attract long-term investor interest.
See More
Lone Peak Acquires KBR Shares, Positive Market Reaction
- New Investment Position: Lone Peak Global Investors disclosed a new stake in KBR on May 14, 2026, acquiring 584,372 shares valued at approximately $24 million, indicating confidence in KBR's future potential amidst market volatility.
- Asset Management Impact: This acquisition represents 3.59% of Lone Peak's reportable assets under management, highlighting the firm's strategic focus on KBR's capabilities in defense and energy transition, which may enhance portfolio stability.
- Market Performance Insight: As of May 14, 2026, KBR shares were priced at $30.88, down 45% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 25% gain, suggesting a potential undervaluation of KBR's market position.
- Financial Resilience: Despite a 5% revenue decline to $1.9 billion and a 12% drop in net income to $102 million in Q1, KBR's adjusted EBITDA rose 1% to $251 million, demonstrating resilience and future growth potential amid challenging conditions.
See More
KBR Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.165 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: KBR has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.13% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially boosting shareholder confidence and enhancing stock performance.
- Shareholder Record Date: The dividend will be payable on July 15, with a record date of June 15 and an ex-dividend date also on June 15, providing investors with a clear timeline for investment decisions.
- Future Outlook: KBR's Q1 2026 earnings report showcases healthy long-term drivers, and combined with its dividend policy, may further propel the company's stock price upward and attract long-term investors.
See More
KBR Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.165 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: KBR's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share, payable on July 15, 2026, to shareholders of record on June 15, 2026, reflecting the company's strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Global Business Overview: KBR employs approximately 36,000 people worldwide, serving customers in over 85 countries and operating in more than 28 countries, indicating its significant influence and diverse operations in the international market.
- Technology and Service Delivery: KBR delivers science, technology, and engineering solutions, focusing on providing value-added services to governments and companies globally, ensuring consistent delivery and predictability, which enhances customer trust and long-term partnerships.
- Company Vision: KBR emphasizes its mission to achieve sustainability through technology and long-term operations and maintenance services, aiming to meet the evolving needs of customers through innovative and efficient solutions.
See More
KBR Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Sustainable Tech Performance: KBR's Sustainable Tech Solutions (STS) achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 for the third consecutive quarter, indicating strong market demand that is expected to drive revenue growth in 2026, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in this sector.
- Robust Financial Performance: Despite a $95 million year-over-year revenue decline, KBR's adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 13.1%, with adjusted EPS at $0.96, demonstrating effective cost control and cash flow management, which bolsters investor confidence.
- Spin-off Plan Progress: KBR is targeting a spin-off date of January 4, 2027, with management emphasizing that this timing aligns better with the start of the fiscal year and provides a buffer for IT complexities, showcasing the company's strategic foresight in execution.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Management reiterated unchanged full-year guidance, expecting Mission Tech Solutions (MTS) revenue to be flat or slightly down, while Sustainable Tech Solutions (STS) is projected to achieve mid-teens year-over-year growth, reflecting a cautious stance towards market volatility and policy uncertainties.
See More
KBR Partners with NorSAF to Build Northern Europe's Largest SAF Plant
- Technology Licensing Agreement: KBR has partnered with NorSAF to license its proprietary PureSAF® technology, which is expected to enable the new plant to produce 100,000 tons of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and e-SAF annually, establishing the largest SAF production facility in Northern Europe.
- Production Timeline and Market Impact: The plant is scheduled to commence production in 2030, with distribution aimed at aviation companies across the Baltics, Northern Europe, and additional European markets, aligning with the EU's ambitious climate neutrality goals by 2050 and advancing the decarbonization of the aviation sector.
- Policy-Driven Market Demand: Under the EU's ReFuelEU Aviation Regulation, a minimum SAF blending requirement of 6% will be mandated for aviation fuel supplied at EU airports starting January 2025, progressively increasing to 70% by 2030, creating robust market demand for KBR's technology.
- Energy Sovereignty and Security: Jānis Kisiels, a board member of NorSAF, emphasized that producing 100% drop-in jet fuel at scale using locally sourced European feedstocks enhances regional energy sovereignty and security, reducing dependence on external fossil fuel markets and strengthening Europe's industrial backbone.
See More
KBR Director's Purchase of 3,000 Shares Indicates Bullish Sentiment
- Share Acquisition Details: KBR Director Lewis Von Thaer purchased 3,000 common shares on May 14, 2026, for approximately $92,000, resulting in a 40.77% increase in direct holdings, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Reaction Analysis: The purchase price of $30.77 per share was slightly below the market close of $30.88 on the same day, suggesting that Von Thaer views the current stock price as attractive, despite KBR's stock having declined by 43.70% over the past year.
- Company Financial Overview: KBR reported first-quarter revenue of $1.9 billion, a 5% year-over-year decline, and while the 2026 sales forecast ranges from $7.9 billion to $8.4 billion, the lower end appears underwhelming, potentially affecting investor confidence.
- Strategic Spin-off Plan: KBR's plan to separate its government and sustainability divisions into two publicly traded companies has not yet boosted the stock price; however, Von Thaer's purchase suggests he is optimistic about this strategy, which may attract long-term investor interest.
See More
Lone Peak Acquires KBR Shares, Positive Market Reaction
- New Investment Position: Lone Peak Global Investors disclosed a new stake in KBR on May 14, 2026, acquiring 584,372 shares valued at approximately $24 million, indicating confidence in KBR's future potential amidst market volatility.
- Asset Management Impact: This acquisition represents 3.59% of Lone Peak's reportable assets under management, highlighting the firm's strategic focus on KBR's capabilities in defense and energy transition, which may enhance portfolio stability.
- Market Performance Insight: As of May 14, 2026, KBR shares were priced at $30.88, down 45% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 25% gain, suggesting a potential undervaluation of KBR's market position.
- Financial Resilience: Despite a 5% revenue decline to $1.9 billion and a 12% drop in net income to $102 million in Q1, KBR's adjusted EBITDA rose 1% to $251 million, demonstrating resilience and future growth potential amid challenging conditions.
See More
KBR Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.165 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: KBR has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.13% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially boosting shareholder confidence and enhancing stock performance.
- Shareholder Record Date: The dividend will be payable on July 15, with a record date of June 15 and an ex-dividend date also on June 15, providing investors with a clear timeline for investment decisions.
- Future Outlook: KBR's Q1 2026 earnings report showcases healthy long-term drivers, and combined with its dividend policy, may further propel the company's stock price upward and attract long-term investors.
See More
KBR Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.165 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: KBR's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share, payable on July 15, 2026, to shareholders of record on June 15, 2026, reflecting the company's strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Global Business Overview: KBR employs approximately 36,000 people worldwide, serving customers in over 85 countries and operating in more than 28 countries, indicating its significant influence and diverse operations in the international market.
- Technology and Service Delivery: KBR delivers science, technology, and engineering solutions, focusing on providing value-added services to governments and companies globally, ensuring consistent delivery and predictability, which enhances customer trust and long-term partnerships.
- Company Vision: KBR emphasizes its mission to achieve sustainability through technology and long-term operations and maintenance services, aiming to meet the evolving needs of customers through innovative and efficient solutions.
See More
KBR Q1 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Sustainable Tech Performance: KBR's Sustainable Tech Solutions (STS) achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 for the third consecutive quarter, indicating strong market demand that is expected to drive revenue growth in 2026, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in this sector.
- Robust Financial Performance: Despite a $95 million year-over-year revenue decline, KBR's adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 13.1%, with adjusted EPS at $0.96, demonstrating effective cost control and cash flow management, which bolsters investor confidence.
- Spin-off Plan Progress: KBR is targeting a spin-off date of January 4, 2027, with management emphasizing that this timing aligns better with the start of the fiscal year and provides a buffer for IT complexities, showcasing the company's strategic foresight in execution.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Management reiterated unchanged full-year guidance, expecting Mission Tech Solutions (MTS) revenue to be flat or slightly down, while Sustainable Tech Solutions (STS) is projected to achieve mid-teens year-over-year growth, reflecting a cautious stance towards market volatility and policy uncertainties.
See More
