Jefferies: KINGDEE INT'L Expected to Maintain 2H25 Revenue and Net Profit; Anticipated Profit Growth Starting in 2026
Revenue and Profit Growth: KINGDEE INT'L announced a 12.5% revenue growth for 2H25 and a 135% increase in net profit, aligning with Jefferies' expectations.
Future Projections: Jefferies forecasts a strong growth trajectory for KINGDEE's profits post-2025, estimating a 70% CAGR for net profit over the next three years.
AI Technology Resilience: The broker believes KINGDEE's ERP system is well-integrated with customer processes, making it unlikely to be disrupted by AI technology.
Investment Recommendation: Jefferies maintains a Buy rating on KINGDEE with a target price of HKD22.54, positioning it as a top pick in the Chinese software sector.
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Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks saw significant gains, with the HSI rising 1.7% to 25,757, the HSCEI up 2.1% to 8,628, and the HSTECH increasing 3.2% to 4,947, alongside a total market turnover of $292.766 billion.
JD Series Surge: JD-SW shares surged nearly 10% to $106.6 following positive results, while JD LOGISTICS experienced a remarkable 23% increase, making it the largest gainer among blue chips.
Tech Stocks Rally: Major tech companies like TENCENT, BABA-W, and MEITUAN-W saw their stock prices rise between 3.1% and 5.2%, reflecting a broader positive trend in the tech sector.
BILIBILI-W Decline: Despite reporting a 94% increase in adjusted net profit, BILIBILI-W's stock price fell by 4.5%, contrasting with other companies that experienced gains.

Share Price Movement: KINGDEE INT'L's share price has decreased by 3.027% recently, despite a 24% year-to-date increase, amid concerns about AI's impact on software.
HSBC Global Research Insights: HSBC believes that while AI can enhance ERP systems, it will not replace them due to the complexity and high expectations of corporate clients.
Revenue Model Differences: Unlike the US software sector, KINGDEE INT'L charges based on the number of modules used rather than a seat-based model, reflecting the competitive landscape in China.
Profit Forecast Adjustments: HSBC has lowered its net profit forecasts for KINGDEE INT'L by 14-25% for 2025-2027, while maintaining a Buy rating and adjusting the target price from $18.2 to $17.7.

Market Performance: The HSI fell 523 points (1.9%) to 26,558, with the HSCEI down 190 points (2.1%) and the HSTECH dropping 127 points (2.4%), amid a total turnover of HKD138.679 billion.
Tech Stocks Decline: Major tech stocks like TENCENT, BABA-W, and MEITUAN-W experienced significant declines, with short selling ratios indicating increased bearish sentiment.
AI and Robotics Sector Struggles: Stocks in the AI sector, including SENSETIME-W and PHANCY, saw substantial losses, while robotics stocks like DOBOT plunged over 10%.
Pharmaceutical and Insurance Stocks Down: Pharma stocks such as CSPC PHARMA and Chinese insurers like CHINA LIFE faced declines of 4-6%, reflecting a broader downturn in these sectors.

Market Performance: The HSI fell by 161 points (0.6%) to 26,544, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also experienced declines, with total market turnover reaching HKD91.755 billion.
Oil and Energy Stocks Surge: PETROCHINA and CNOOC saw significant gains of 4.6% and 3.3%, respectively, with CNOOC hitting an all-time high, while other energy-related stocks also performed well.
Robotics and AI Stocks Rally: Following a viral performance at the CCTV Spring Festival Gala, robotics stocks like DOBOT and ROBOSENSE surged by over 19%, alongside strong performances from AI model stocks.
Tech Sector Declines: Major tech companies such as Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent faced losses, with declines ranging from 1.4% to 7.8%, while several other tech stocks also experienced significant drops.

Market Opening: The Hong Kong equity market opened lower after the Lunar New Year holiday, with the HSI down 0.2% at 26,657, the HSCEI down 0.2% at 9,052, and the HSTECH down 0.7% at 5,330.
Stock Performances: CNOOC and COSCO SHIP ENGY saw gains of 2.2% and 6.1% respectively, while tech stocks like BABA-W and BIDU-SW experienced declines of 3.7% and 5.2%.
Sector Movements: Commodities stocks generally rose, with notable increases from MMG and CMOC, while several automakers and financial stocks showed mixed results, with HSBC and HKEX slightly up.
Short Selling Trends: Significant short selling was observed across various sectors, particularly in tech stocks, with BILIBILI-W and KINGDEE INT'L experiencing notable declines alongside high short selling ratios.

Market Performance: The HSI closed slightly up at 26,847, while the HSCEI and HSTECH saw minor declines, with total market turnover dropping to $285.433 billion.
Sector Struggles: Software and dotcom sectors faced significant losses, with major companies like TENCENT and MEITU experiencing declines of 3.96% and 11.4%, respectively.
Resource Stocks Rise: Gold and silver prices rebounded, with companies like CHINAGOLDINTL and ZHAOJIN MINING seeing gains, while coal stocks like YANKUANG ENERGY surged by over 10%.
Financial Sector Movements: HSBC and AIA saw slight increases, while HKEX experienced a minor decline; Chinese property developers generally performed well, with several stocks rising between 5% and 10%.






