HSBC Research: China's Energy Market Confronts Oversupply; GOLDWIND, HARBIN ELECTRIC, PETROCHINA, and Others Recommended
China's Energy Market Oversupply: China's energy market is experiencing an oversupply, with power output increasing by 70% since 2020, while demand has only risen by approximately 45% as of October 2025.
AI Data Centers Demand Growth: The energy supply is expected to meet the long-term growth of AI data centers, which are projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32% by 2030, increasing their share of power demand from 2% in 2024 to 9%.
HSBC's Stock Recommendations: HSBC Global Research has recommended several stocks in the energy sector, including GOLDWIND for wind energy, HARBIN ELECTRIC for nuclear and hydropower, PINGGAO ELEC for grid equipment, and PETROCHINA for oil and natural gas, all rated as Buy.
Target Prices for Recommended Stocks: Target prices set by HSBC include $16.7/RMB20.4 for GOLDWIND, $22 for HARBIN ELECTRIC, RMB25.6 for PINGGAO ELEC, and $10.1/RMB11.7 for PETROCHINA.
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Market Performance: The HSI closed down 61 points (0.2%) at 25,898, with total market turnover dropping 23% to $254.481 billion.
Automaker Gains: NIO-SW surged 14.1% after reporting its first quarterly profit, while other automakers like GEELY AUTO and XPENG-W also saw significant increases.
Sector Highlights: Intelligent driving and battery stocks experienced notable gains, with CATL rising 9% and WERIDE-W increasing by 7.1%.
Energy and Coal Stocks: Power utilities and coal stocks performed well, with companies like HUANENG POWER and CHINA SHENHUA seeing increases of 3.5% and 4.6%, respectively.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 551 points (2.2%) to close at 25,959, with significant gains also seen in the HSTI and HSCEI, reflecting a strong market turnover of $330.93 billion.
Top Gainers: Notable heavyweights like Tencent and Alibaba saw substantial increases, with Tencent up 7.3% and Alibaba up 3.7%, while CATL led the HSI constituents with a 9.3% rise.
Active Stocks: Other active stocks included SMIC and AIA, which rose by 5.5% and 4.7% respectively, while Xiaomi experienced a slight decline of 0.2%.
Significant Movers: Among smaller stocks, QUANTGROUP and XUNCE had remarkable gains of 34.3% and 32.9%, respectively, while DEEPEXI TECH faced a significant drop of 17.9%.
Market Reaction to Political Statements: Oil and gas stocks fell sharply on October 10 after a surge the previous day, following President Trump's comments about a quick end to the Iran conflict and potential easing of Russian oil sanctions, leading to a 10% drop in international oil prices.
Stock Performance of Key Companies: SHANDONG MOLONG saw a significant decline of 17.53% after a 25% increase the day before, while other companies like PETRO-KING and CHK OIL also experienced notable drops in their stock prices.
Short Selling Activity: There was considerable short selling activity in major oil companies, with CNOOC and PETROCHINA facing significant short selling volumes, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
SINOPEC's Mixed Performance: While SINOPEC CORP saw a slight increase of 1.4%, other SINOPEC-related stocks experienced declines, reflecting a mixed performance within the sector amidst the overall market downturn.
Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks opened higher, with the HSI up 1.3% at 25,740, the HSCEI up 1.1% at 8,676, and the HSTECH up 2% at 5,040.
Oil Price Decline: Oil prices fell significantly, impacting major producers like PETROCHINA and CNOOC, which saw declines of 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively.
Commodities Stocks Rebound: Commodities stocks experienced a rebound, with notable gains from SD GOLD, ZIJIN MINING, JIANGXI COPPER, and MMG, all showing increases between 2.1% and 4.1%.
Financial Sector Gains: The financial sector saw positive movement, with HSBC, HKEX, AIA, and Standard Chartered all reporting increases, particularly HSBC which rose 3.5%.
Market Performance: The HSI fell by 1.4% to close at 25,408, with total market turnover reaching $392.33 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also experienced declines of 0.5% and 0.12%, respectively.
Oil and Energy Stocks: PETROCHINA and CNOOC saw increases of 2.3% and 3.3%, while KUNLUN ENERGY and SINOPEC CORP dropped by 3.9% and 4.4%. SHANDONG MOLONG surged by 25%, indicating volatility in the energy sector.
Commodities and Transportation Stocks: CHI SILVER GP and ZIJIN MINING fell by 7% and 2.8%, while SD GOLD rose by 3.7%. COSCO SHIP ENGY and Cathay Pacific Air experienced significant declines of 8.5% and 5.1%, respectively.
AI and Cloud Stocks Surge: AI stocks like KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and INSILICO rose by 8.1% and 7.1%, driven by the OpenClaw craze, while cloud service providers KINGSOFT CLOUD and GDS-SW increased by 13.7% and 5.9%.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 348 points (1.4%) to close at 25,408, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stock movements included PING AN down 3.1%, MEITUAN up 2.4%, and BABA down 1.5%, with significant short selling activity across these stocks.
Constituents on the Move: XPENG saw a notable increase of 5.7%, while several other stocks like HANG LUNG PPT and AIA experienced significant declines, with short selling ratios indicating high market activity.
High Volatility Stocks: Stocks like ZONQING LTD and FANGZHOU JIANKE faced drastic drops of over 30%, while KINGSOFT CLOUD and YANCOAL AUS achieved notable gains, highlighting the volatility in the market.









