Gold Royalty Corp. Projects Significant Growth in 2026 Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy GROY?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Performance: Gold Royalty Corp. reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.00, meeting expectations, but revenue of $4.5 million, which is a 33.9% year-over-year increase, fell short by $0.35 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- 2026 Guidance: The company expects total GEOs to rise to between 7,500 and 9,300 in 2026, driven by the ramp-up of cash-flowing assets and the addition of Pedra Branca and Borborema royalties, representing a mid-point increase of over 60% from 2025 results.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: By 2030, GEOs are projected to reach between 28,000 and 34,000, including approximately 600 GEOs from Land Agreement Proceeds, with the mid-point indicating over a 490% increase compared to actual 2025 results, reflecting strong confidence in future growth.
- Enhanced Financing Capability: Gold Royalty has upsized its credit facility to $150 million and reduced interest rates, which will provide stronger financial support for future investments and expansions, further solidifying its market position.
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Analyst Views on GROY
Wall Street analysts forecast GROY stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 3.300
Low
4.75
Averages
5.21
High
6.25
Current: 3.300
Low
4.75
Averages
5.21
High
6.25
About GROY
Gold Royalty Corp. is a Canada-based gold-focused royalty company offering financing solutions to the metals and mining industry. Its diversified portfolio includes approximately 248 royalty and streaming interests across properties of various stages, of which seven are on cash flowing assets. In acquiring newly created interests, the Company acts as a source of financing to mining companies for the development and exploration of projects. It does not conduct exploration, development or mining operations on the properties in which it holds interests. The Company's royalties include Vares, Isabella Pearl, Canadian Malartic, Borden, Cozamin, Marigold, Granite Creek, Edna Mountain, Bald Mountain, Hammond Reef South, Princesse Annie, Hunter Mine Group, Entre Deux Lacs, Calamity, Winnie Lake, Perestroika Ouest, Lac Lemoyne, Harricana Fault, Blue Mountain, Bejopipa, Bench Depth, Amikougami, Aquilon, Casault, Des Meloizes, Fancamp, and others. It also owns royalty of Borborema Gold Project.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Gold Royalty Corp. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp. reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million for Q4 2025, reflecting a 28% increase from $2.5 million in the previous quarter, indicating ongoing improvements in revenue and cash flow that further solidify its financial foundation.
- Acquisition Strategy: The company completed the acquisition of royalties on Pedra Branca for $70 million on December 8, 2025, followed by an additional NSR royalty on Borborema acquired on January 14, 2026, enhancing the diversity and potential returns of its asset portfolio.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management anticipates gold equivalent production of 7,500 to 9,300 ounces in 2026, representing a 62% increase from 5,173 ounces in 2025, with projections of up to 490% growth by 2030, demonstrating confidence in future market opportunities.
- Debt-Free Advantage: As of the end of 2025, the company reported no debt, over $12 million in cash reserves, and an undrawn credit facility, enhancing its resilience against market volatility while providing financial flexibility for future growth opportunities.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp Reports Strong 2025 Financials with Positive Outlook
- Strong Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp (GROY) reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million for Q4 2025, up from $2.5 million in the previous quarter and $1.2 million in Q4 2024, indicating sustained financial health and profitability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved total revenue of $17.8 million for the full year 2025, a 38% increase from 2024, with Q4 revenue reaching $5.2 million, translating to 1,255 gold equivalent ounces, reflecting strong market performance and competitiveness.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Optimization: By year-end 2025, GROY had over $12 million in cash, no debt, and a $150 million undrawn credit facility, enhancing its financial flexibility and ability to navigate market volatility.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a 62% increase in gold equivalent ounces for 2026, projecting production between 7,500 and 9,300 ounces, with a long-term outlook suggesting a 490% growth by 2030, showcasing its potential for sustained growth in the gold market.
See More
Gold Royalty Corporation Shares Drop 9.1% Amid Sector Decline
- Significant Stock Decline: Gold Royalty Corporation (GROY) shares fell 9.1% to $3.28 by 2:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday, primarily influenced by a broader decline in the gold sector, indicating market sensitivity to falling gold prices.
- Earnings Report Misses Expectations: The company reported Q4 2025 earnings with a 33.5% revenue increase to $4.5 million, but adjusted EPS of $0.00 aligned with expectations, leading to a subdued investor sentiment amid overall market declines.
- Gold Price Fluctuation Factors: Gold prices dropped nearly 6% on Thursday, driven by inflation expectations and Federal Reserve interest rate policies; typically, inflation boosts gold prices, but concerns over potential rate hikes have pressured prices downward.
- Complex Market Environment: The ongoing conflict in Iran and the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed oil and gas prices higher, exacerbating inflation expectations, while the Fed's decision to hold rates steady failed to bolster market confidence, resulting in a slight rise in long-term Treasury yields, reflecting investor caution regarding future rate policies.
See More
Gold Royalty Reports Slightly Missed Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Performance: Gold Royalty reported Q4 2025 revenue of $4.5 million, a 33.5% increase year-over-year, slightly missing expectations, indicating the company's vulnerability amid fluctuating gold prices, which could impact future investor confidence.
- Stock Decline: Shares of Gold Royalty fell 9.1% as of 2:00 p.m. EDT, reflecting market reactions to nearly 6% drop in gold prices, suggesting a weakening investor confidence in gold as an inflation hedge.
- Market Environment: The ongoing conflict in Iran and the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz have driven up oil and gas prices, further elevating inflation expectations, which has pressured gold prices and affected overall performance of gold mining stocks.
- Fed Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, coupled with a diminished expectation for future rate cuts, has led to a rise in long-term Treasury yields, potentially decreasing investor demand for gold and impacting Gold Royalty's business outlook.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp. Projects Significant Growth in 2026 Outlook
- Earnings Performance: Gold Royalty Corp. reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.00, meeting expectations, but revenue of $4.5 million, which is a 33.9% year-over-year increase, fell short by $0.35 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- 2026 Guidance: The company expects total GEOs to rise to between 7,500 and 9,300 in 2026, driven by the ramp-up of cash-flowing assets and the addition of Pedra Branca and Borborema royalties, representing a mid-point increase of over 60% from 2025 results.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: By 2030, GEOs are projected to reach between 28,000 and 34,000, including approximately 600 GEOs from Land Agreement Proceeds, with the mid-point indicating over a 490% increase compared to actual 2025 results, reflecting strong confidence in future growth.
- Enhanced Financing Capability: Gold Royalty has upsized its credit facility to $150 million and reduced interest rates, which will provide stronger financial support for future investments and expansions, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp Reports Record Revenue and Positive Cash Flow for 2025
- Record Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp achieved a record revenue of $15.6 million in 2025, a 55% increase from 2024, while generating positive operating cash flow of $6.2 million, significantly improving financial health and boosting investor confidence.
- Increased Gold Equivalent Production: The company reported gold equivalent production of 5,173 ounces in 2025, with expectations to rise to between 7,500 and 9,300 ounces in 2026, representing over 60% year-over-year growth, further solidifying its leadership in the gold royalty market.
- Debt-Free and Enhanced Liquidity: By the end of 2025, Gold Royalty had over $12 million in cash and no debt, with an increased credit facility of $150 million, ensuring financial flexibility for future expansions and investments.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: The company forecasts gold equivalent production to reach between 28,000 and 34,000 ounces by 2030, driven by ongoing contributions from existing assets, showcasing strong growth potential in the gold market.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp. reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million for Q4 2025, reflecting a 28% increase from $2.5 million in the previous quarter, indicating ongoing improvements in revenue and cash flow that further solidify its financial foundation.
- Acquisition Strategy: The company completed the acquisition of royalties on Pedra Branca for $70 million on December 8, 2025, followed by an additional NSR royalty on Borborema acquired on January 14, 2026, enhancing the diversity and potential returns of its asset portfolio.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management anticipates gold equivalent production of 7,500 to 9,300 ounces in 2026, representing a 62% increase from 5,173 ounces in 2025, with projections of up to 490% growth by 2030, demonstrating confidence in future market opportunities.
- Debt-Free Advantage: As of the end of 2025, the company reported no debt, over $12 million in cash reserves, and an undrawn credit facility, enhancing its resilience against market volatility while providing financial flexibility for future growth opportunities.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp Reports Strong 2025 Financials with Positive Outlook
- Strong Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp (GROY) reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million for Q4 2025, up from $2.5 million in the previous quarter and $1.2 million in Q4 2024, indicating sustained financial health and profitability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved total revenue of $17.8 million for the full year 2025, a 38% increase from 2024, with Q4 revenue reaching $5.2 million, translating to 1,255 gold equivalent ounces, reflecting strong market performance and competitiveness.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Optimization: By year-end 2025, GROY had over $12 million in cash, no debt, and a $150 million undrawn credit facility, enhancing its financial flexibility and ability to navigate market volatility.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a 62% increase in gold equivalent ounces for 2026, projecting production between 7,500 and 9,300 ounces, with a long-term outlook suggesting a 490% growth by 2030, showcasing its potential for sustained growth in the gold market.
See More
Gold Royalty Corporation Shares Drop 9.1% Amid Sector Decline
- Significant Stock Decline: Gold Royalty Corporation (GROY) shares fell 9.1% to $3.28 by 2:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday, primarily influenced by a broader decline in the gold sector, indicating market sensitivity to falling gold prices.
- Earnings Report Misses Expectations: The company reported Q4 2025 earnings with a 33.5% revenue increase to $4.5 million, but adjusted EPS of $0.00 aligned with expectations, leading to a subdued investor sentiment amid overall market declines.
- Gold Price Fluctuation Factors: Gold prices dropped nearly 6% on Thursday, driven by inflation expectations and Federal Reserve interest rate policies; typically, inflation boosts gold prices, but concerns over potential rate hikes have pressured prices downward.
- Complex Market Environment: The ongoing conflict in Iran and the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed oil and gas prices higher, exacerbating inflation expectations, while the Fed's decision to hold rates steady failed to bolster market confidence, resulting in a slight rise in long-term Treasury yields, reflecting investor caution regarding future rate policies.
See More
Gold Royalty Reports Slightly Missed Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Performance: Gold Royalty reported Q4 2025 revenue of $4.5 million, a 33.5% increase year-over-year, slightly missing expectations, indicating the company's vulnerability amid fluctuating gold prices, which could impact future investor confidence.
- Stock Decline: Shares of Gold Royalty fell 9.1% as of 2:00 p.m. EDT, reflecting market reactions to nearly 6% drop in gold prices, suggesting a weakening investor confidence in gold as an inflation hedge.
- Market Environment: The ongoing conflict in Iran and the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz have driven up oil and gas prices, further elevating inflation expectations, which has pressured gold prices and affected overall performance of gold mining stocks.
- Fed Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, coupled with a diminished expectation for future rate cuts, has led to a rise in long-term Treasury yields, potentially decreasing investor demand for gold and impacting Gold Royalty's business outlook.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp. Projects Significant Growth in 2026 Outlook
- Earnings Performance: Gold Royalty Corp. reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.00, meeting expectations, but revenue of $4.5 million, which is a 33.9% year-over-year increase, fell short by $0.35 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- 2026 Guidance: The company expects total GEOs to rise to between 7,500 and 9,300 in 2026, driven by the ramp-up of cash-flowing assets and the addition of Pedra Branca and Borborema royalties, representing a mid-point increase of over 60% from 2025 results.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: By 2030, GEOs are projected to reach between 28,000 and 34,000, including approximately 600 GEOs from Land Agreement Proceeds, with the mid-point indicating over a 490% increase compared to actual 2025 results, reflecting strong confidence in future growth.
- Enhanced Financing Capability: Gold Royalty has upsized its credit facility to $150 million and reduced interest rates, which will provide stronger financial support for future investments and expansions, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Gold Royalty Corp Reports Record Revenue and Positive Cash Flow for 2025
- Record Financial Performance: Gold Royalty Corp achieved a record revenue of $15.6 million in 2025, a 55% increase from 2024, while generating positive operating cash flow of $6.2 million, significantly improving financial health and boosting investor confidence.
- Increased Gold Equivalent Production: The company reported gold equivalent production of 5,173 ounces in 2025, with expectations to rise to between 7,500 and 9,300 ounces in 2026, representing over 60% year-over-year growth, further solidifying its leadership in the gold royalty market.
- Debt-Free and Enhanced Liquidity: By the end of 2025, Gold Royalty had over $12 million in cash and no debt, with an increased credit facility of $150 million, ensuring financial flexibility for future expansions and investments.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: The company forecasts gold equivalent production to reach between 28,000 and 34,000 ounces by 2030, driven by ongoing contributions from existing assets, showcasing strong growth potential in the gold market.
See More
