G Sachs Provides ST Risk Assessment for Three Firm Types as US Expected to Increase Scrutiny on CN Innovative Drugs, Potentially Creating 'Headline Risks' for CN Pharmaceutical Companies
Trump Administration's Drug Policy Discussion: Goldman Sachs reported that the Trump administration is considering restrictions on Chinese pharmaceuticals and drafting an executive order to limit the entry of innovative Chinese drugs into the US market, although a White House spokesperson stated that the government is not actively pursuing this draft at the moment.
Impact on Chinese Biotech Sector: Goldman Sachs believes that potential restrictions could create "headline risks" for the Chinese biotech and pharmaceutical sector, leading to increased stock price volatility, especially as major US pharmaceutical companies lobby against the proposed order.
Categorization of Chinese Biotech Companies: The report categorizes Chinese biotech firms into three groups based on their global presence and partnerships, with varying levels of expected impact from the potential restrictions.
Market Reactions and Short Selling Data: The article includes specific stock performance and short selling data for various companies within the categorized groups, indicating market sentiment and potential risks associated with the evolving regulatory landscape.
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CSPC Pharma Revenue Forecast: Nomura predicts CSPC Pharma's 4Q25 revenue will increase by 20% YoY to RMB7.6 billion, surpassing market expectations of RMB7.4 billion.
Sales and Profit Margin Estimates: The broker anticipates a slight decline in finished drug sales to RMB5 billion, while collaboration revenue is expected to reach RMB1.1 billion, with a gross profit margin increase to 68.5%.
Revised Financial Projections: Nomura has raised its FY2025/2026 revenue forecasts by 1% and 7.2%, respectively, and increased earnings forecasts by 5.9% and 26.4% due to higher collaboration revenue and profit margins.
Investment Rating and Target Price: The broker maintains a "Buy" rating for CSPC Pharma and has raised its target price from $9.11 to $12.04.

Chinese Internet Healthcare Sector Growth: The sector is evolving with increased AI innovation from tech giants and support from national policies, such as Beijing's online consultation pilot program, despite profitability challenges.
Stock Recommendations: UOB Kay Hian maintains a positive outlook on companies like ALI HEALTH and PA GOODDOCTOR, projecting significant revenue growth driven by AI and synergies with major partners.
Top Picks in Healthcare: UOB Kay Hian's top stock picks include BEONE MEDICINES, INNOVENT BIO, and HANSOH PHARMA, highlighting their potential for growth in the Chinese healthcare market.
Investment Ratings: Various companies in the sector have received investment ratings, with several being rated as "Buy," indicating strong confidence in their future performance.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 233 points (0.9%) to close at 27,032, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Meituan, Tencent, and Xiaomi saw significant drops, with Meituan down 4.5% and Tencent down 2.3%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Bud APAC and Lenovo Group faced substantial losses, with Bud APAC down 5.2%, while Zijin Mining and PICC P&C were among the few gainers, with Zijin Mining up 3.4%.
High Performers: Unisound and Guofuhee experienced remarkable gains, with Unisound rising by 16.8%, indicating strong market interest in these stocks.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 242 points (0.9%) to 27,023, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 1.7% and 1.0%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Meituan, Tencent, Alibaba, and Xiaomi saw significant drops, with Meituan down 4.2% and Tencent down 2.6%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Wuxi AppTec and Wuxi Bio both hit new highs, increasing by 3.9% and 3.7%, respectively, while Bud APAC and Trip.com saw declines of 5% and 4.3%.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed across various stocks, with NetEase Music experiencing the largest drop of 11.9%, while Fit Hon Teng and COSCO Ship Energy saw substantial gains of over 10%.
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 155 points (0.6%) to close at 27,183, with a total market turnover of HKD234.04 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains, closing at 9,242 and 5,451 respectively.
Tech Stock Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and MEITUAN-W experienced declines of 1.6% and 2.5%, while KUAISHOU-W, JD-SW, and BABA-W saw increases between 1.6% and 1.9%.
AI and Pharma Stocks Surge: AI stocks such as UNISOUND and INSILICO rose significantly, with KNOWLEDGE ATLAS jumping 14.8% after JPMorgan initiated coverage. Pharma stocks also performed well, with CSPC PHARMA and INNOVENT BIO gaining between 4.7% and 5.5%.
Chip Sector Performance: SMIC gained 1.7%, while HUA HONG SEMI dipped 1.2%. Other chip-related stocks like INNOSCIENCE and BIREN TECH saw notable increases, with INNOSCIENCE rising 6.9%.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 155 points (0.6%) to close at 27,183, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also saw gains, with market turnover reaching $234.04 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable movements included Meituan down 2.5%, Alibaba up 1.6%, Tencent down 1.6%, and Xiaomi up 1.1%, with significant short selling activity across these stocks.
Top Gainers: CSPC Pharma, Innovent Bio, and Pop Mart were among the top gainers, with CSPC Pharma increasing by 5.5% and Pop Mart by 4.9%, while New Oriental saw a decline of 4.4%.
High Performers in HSMI & HSSI: China Literature surged by 15.4%, Vobile Group by 14.4%, and GeekPlus by 11%, indicating strong performance in smaller stocks within the market.




