Fox Corporation Stock: Analyst Estimates & Ratings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Company Performance: Fox Corporation has seen a significant stock increase of 79.3% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 Index and driven by successful political advertising, sports sublicensing, and strategic investments in streaming services like Tubi.
Analyst Ratings and Future Outlook: Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus on FOXA stock, with Deutsche Bank raising its price target to $60, indicating potential upside, while earnings expectations for the current fiscal year suggest a 27.7% growth in EPS.
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Analyst Views on FOXA
Wall Street analysts forecast FOXA stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 52.230
Low
63.00
Averages
74.46
High
85.00
Current: 52.230
Low
63.00
Averages
74.46
High
85.00
About FOXA
Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content through its primary domestic brands, including FOX Sports, Tubi Media Group, FOX Entertainment and FOX Television Stations. Its operating segments include Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible and the FOX Studio Lot. Cable Network Programming produces and licenses news and sports content distributed through traditional cable television systems, direct broadcast satellite operators and telecommunication companies, virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (virtual MVPDs) and other digital platforms. Television produces, acquires, markets and distributes programming through the FOX broadcast network, advertising supported video-on-demand service Tubi, approximately 29 full power broadcast television stations, including 11 duopolies, and other digital platforms. The FOX Studio Lot provides television and film production services. Credible is a United States consumer finance marketplace.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Acquisition Failures Impact: Netflix's stock has dropped 17% year-to-date following its failure to acquire Roku, marking two missed opportunities this year, which raises concerns about its growth potential in the market.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: Management emphasizes that acquiring quality assets is a luxury rather than a necessity; despite having 325 million paying members and $47 billion in revenue, Netflix's decision to avoid bidding wars reflects disciplined capital allocation.
- Content Investment Plans: Netflix plans to spend $20 billion on content production in 2023, with management concluding that the returns from its own content investments outweigh the costs of participating in bidding wars for acquisitions.
- Market Potential Analysis: Despite competition, Netflix has only captured 45% of its addressable market among broadband households, indicating a potential for 800 million subscribers, and its revenue grew 16% year-over-year in Q1, showcasing a healthy business and growth potential.
See More
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- Acquisition Setback: Netflix's failure to secure Roku in a bidding war, with Fox acquiring the platform for $22 billion, has contributed to a 17% year-to-date decline in stock price, reflecting market concerns about its growth potential.
- Resource Management Discipline: While Wall Street expresses disappointment over Netflix's acquisition failures, management emphasizes that acquiring quality assets is a luxury rather than a necessity, showcasing their disciplined approach to resource allocation, which may be undervalued by the market.
- Content Investment Strategy: Netflix plans to spend $20 billion on content production in 2023, with management concluding that the returns from investing in its own content outweigh the costs of winning bidding wars, demonstrating prudent capital allocation.
- Market Potential and Growth: With only 45% of its addressable market captured among broadband households, Netflix has the potential for up to 800 million subscribers; despite competition, it reported a 16% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, indicating a healthy business outlook.
See More
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- Acquisition Overview: Fox is acquiring Roku at $160 per share, structured as $96 in cash plus 0.9693 shares of Fox Class A stock, with a targeted close in the first half of 2027, allowing Fox shareholders to own 73% of the combined entity, thereby enhancing its control in the streaming market.
- Market Share Impact: Roku's software powers approximately 44-45% of streaming time in the US, and this acquisition significantly strengthens Fox's competitive position in the streaming sector, particularly against rivals like Netflix, increasing its bargaining power.
- Cost Synergy Expectations: Fox anticipates achieving around $400 million in run-rate cost synergies by the second full year post-closing, which will not only enhance the company's free cash flow but also provide funding for future investments, thereby improving overall financial health.
- Strategic Transformation Significance: Analyst Rich Greenfield emphasizes that Fox's move represents a significant strategic pivot in legacy media, avoiding the high risks of competing directly with peers and instead securing future growth potential by acquiring the streaming 'toll booth', potentially reshaping the competitive landscape of the media industry.
See More
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- Missed Deal Opportunities: The company lost a bidding war against Paramount Skydance for Warner Bros. Discovery, missing out on a $111 billion acquisition that could have significantly strengthened its content library and market position, potentially impacting its content strategy moving forward.
- Intensifying Competition: With the number of streaming services skyrocketing, Netflix faces fierce competition from giants like Disney and Apple; despite boasting over 325 million subscribers across 190 countries, the pressure to continuously innovate poses challenges to its market dominance.
- Valuation Fluctuations: Netflix's P/E ratio fell to 15 in 2022 but surged to 63 due to increased ad revenue; currently trading at about 25 times earnings, it appears undervalued, yet investor skepticism about its industry role may hinder future stock price gains.
See More
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- Intensifying Competition: Netflix recently lost a bidding war to Paramount for the $111 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal, which could hinder its content library expansion and weaken its market position.
- Market Share Loss: Fox outbid Netflix for control of Roku, a key streaming platform for Netflix, representing a missed opportunity to enhance its influence in the advertising revival phase.
- Valuation Fluctuations: Netflix's P/E ratio fell to 15 in 2022 but surged to 63 due to increased ad revenue, and while it has since dropped to 25, investor confidence in its competitive role has waned.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following a 10-for-1 stock split on November 14, 2025, Netflix's stock has declined by 31%, indicating reduced investor confidence in its future growth potential, despite having over 325 million subscribers.
See More
