Dow Jumps Over 200 Points; US Initial Jobless Claims Fall
U.S. Stock Market Performance: U.S. stocks rose this morning, with the Dow Jones gaining over 200 points, while energy shares increased by 1.3% and health care stocks fell by 0.9%.
Economic Indicators: Initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 13,000 to 228,000, and labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector declined by 0.8%, with unit labor costs increasing by 5.7% in the first quarter.
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- Coverage Initiation: B. Riley Securities has initiated coverage on digital asset companies Strategy (MSTR) and Strive (ASST) with a Buy rating, indicating a positive outlook for their future performance, particularly in the current market environment.
- Market Stress Test: Analyst Fedor Shabalin noted that the DATCO model faced a stress test, with BTC peaking at $126,000 in October 2025 before falling to approximately $69,000 by March 2026, compressing mNAV premiums across the sector and impacting equity accretion for most DATCOs.
- Capital Structure Advantage: MSTR and ASST are well-positioned to navigate the current environment through their differentiated capital structures and disciplined BTC accumulation strategies, with both companies having established dedicated cash reserves to support preferred obligations, ensuring near-term dividend sustainability.
- Long-Term Appreciation Potential: Beyond attractive dividend yields, the analyst believes that investors in both common and preferred securities can benefit from the potential long-term appreciation of underlying BTC holdings, a value creation mechanism that MSTR has demonstrated over six years of BTC accumulation.
- Oil Price Plunge Impact: US stocks are broadly higher today, with the S&P 500 up 0.28%, the Dow Jones up 0.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.49%, driven by an 11% drop in oil prices, which positively impacts the US economy and may influence Fed policy direction.
- Strong Home Sales Data: February existing home sales in the US rose 1.7% month-over-month to 4.09 million, exceeding expectations of 3.88 million, indicating resilience in the housing market that could further support stock performance.
- Iran Situation Impact: Despite increased Iranian attacks in the Persian Gulf causing the largest refinery in the UAE to halt operations, oil prices have fallen to $84 per barrel due to President Trump's comments, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Corporate Earnings Situation: With over 95% of S&P 500 companies having reported earnings, 74% exceeded expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the stock market and indicating sustained corporate profitability growth potential.
- Middle East Impact: The S&P 500 Index fell 0.04% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.13% as fresh disruptions in the Persian Gulf raised doubts about President Trump's comments on the Iran war ending soon, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical tensions.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Despite the largest refinery in the UAE halting operations due to an Iranian drone attack, April WTI crude oil futures fell 7%, erasing part of the previous 1.5-week rally, reflecting insufficient market reaction to supply disruptions.
- Strong Economic Data: US existing home sales rose 1.7% month-over-month to 4.09 million in February, exceeding expectations and indicating a robust housing market that could support stock prices amid broader market volatility.
- Corporate Earnings Resilience: With over 95% of S&P 500 companies reporting, 74% exceeded earnings expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, showcasing corporate profitability and contributing to a positive market outlook.

Bitcoin Price Surge: Bitcoin's price jumped to $70,000, leading to increased stock prices for Strategy (MSTR) and Strive Asset Management (ASST), with MSTR gaining 1.55% and ASST rising 1.29% in after-hours trading.
Analyst Ratings: B. Riley initiated coverage on MSTR and ASST with a 'Buy' rating, highlighting the potential for significant returns as retail sentiment remains bullish around Bitcoin.
Dividend Yield Comparison: Analysts noted that the dividend yields offered by MSTR and ASST (8.0% - 12.5%) are superior to traditional yield-oriented alternatives, making them attractive to income-focused investors.
Future Price Targets: B. Riley set a price target of $175 for MSTR, suggesting a potential upside of nearly 26% from its recent closing price, while the average price target indicates a potential upside of 183%.

Bitcoin Price and Losses: Bitcoin is currently trading around $66,200, while MSTR's average cost per Bitcoin exceeds $76,000, resulting in a loss of over 12%, approximately $7 billion. Other companies like Strive and Trump Media have also reported significant losses in their Bitcoin holdings.
MSTR's Bitcoin Accumulation: MSTR's executive chairman, Michael Saylor, indicated that the company is set to announce another Bitcoin purchase soon, continuing its strategy of accumulating Bitcoin after a previous announcement of its 100th buy in February.
Market Sentiment and Stock Performance: MSTR's stock sentiment has improved to 'bullish' from 'neutral', with a slight increase in trading, while Bitcoin's price has seen a minor decline. In contrast, other companies like ASSST and DJT are experiencing deeper losses in their Bitcoin investments.
Comparative Holdings and Costs: MSTR is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin with around 717,722 tokens valued at approximately $47.65 billion, while ASSST and DJT hold significantly fewer tokens and are facing higher average costs per Bitcoin, leading to substantial unrealized losses.
Bitcoin Price Surge: Bitcoin's price crossed $69,000 but later adjusted to around $68,700, reflecting a 4.8% increase over the last 24 hours amid a recovering cryptocurrency market.
Market Reactions: Companies like Coinbase Global and Bitmine Immersion Technologies saw significant gains, with Circle Internet Group's stock jumping over 35% following better-than-expected earnings.
Growing Demand for Bitcoin: Demand for Bitcoin has started to grow for the first time since November 2025, potentially leading to further gains for cryptocurrency-linked stocks.
Retail Sentiment Shift: Retail sentiment around cryptocurrency stocks has shifted to "bullish," indicating increased investor confidence, as seen in the stock performance of companies like Circle and Bitmine.








