Citi Identifies Hong Kong Stocks Exporting to the US Market (Table)
Market Reaction to Tariff Warning: US President Donald Trump's announcement of a potential 100% tariff increase on Chinese goods has led to significant market volatility, particularly affecting Hong Kong stocks that export to the US.
Citi Report on Affected Stocks: A report from Citi highlights various Hong Kong stocks, detailing their forecasted US market share and current performance, with many experiencing declines and notable short selling activity.
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Citi's Research Report: Citi has initiated coverage on KB LAMINATES (01888.HK) with an Overweight rating and JOHNSON ELEC H (00179.HK) with a Neutral rating, reflecting the differing impacts of rising copper prices on their earnings.
Copper Price Surge: Copper prices increased by 22% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter in 4Q25, significantly affecting the earnings outlook for both companies.
KB LAMINATES' Earnings Growth: As the largest copper-clad laminate manufacturer, KB LAMINATES is expected to pass on rising costs to downstream PCB, enhancing its earnings growth.
Challenges for JOHNSON ELEC H: In contrast, JOHNSON ELEC H, the leading automotive micro-motor manufacturer, faces pressure on its earnings due to weaker bargaining power amid rising copper costs.

Market Performance: The HSI rose 0.33% to 26,718, with total half-day turnover reaching $127.938 billion, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also saw slight increases.
BABA-W Support: Alibaba's share price increased by 2.6% after rumors of supporting its chip subsidiary's separate listing, coinciding with the acceptance of Enflame's IPO application.
Sector Movements: Chip stocks experienced declines, with notable drops in SMIC and HUA HONG SEMI, while financials showed mixed results, with HSBC sliding slightly and HKEX gaining.
Stock Highlights: BYD and robotics stocks like JOHNSON ELEC faced losses, while XIAOMI surged 2.5% following a share buyback announcement, and POP MART's new product launch boosted its shares by 6.5%.

Company Performance: JOHNSON ELEC H reported slightly weaker-than-expected results for 3QFY26, leading to a decline in stock price by 7.045%.
Earnings Forecast Adjustment: Due to rising copper costs, Citi has reduced its earnings forecasts for JOHNSON ELEC H for FY26-28 by approximately 5%.
Target Price Revision: Citi has lowered its target price for JOHNSON ELEC H from HKD33 to HKD32 while maintaining a Neutral rating.
Market Sentiment: The company is expected to face short-term pressure due to disappointing results, with limited visibility for future performance.

Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stock futures rose on settlement date, with the HSI increasing by 219 points (0.9%) to close at 25,854, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains of 1.1% and 1.7%, respectively, with total market turnover reaching $199.769 billion.
IPO Activity: ILUVATAR COREX (09903.HK) launched its IPO aiming to raise approximately $3.677 billion, indicating a strong interest in the market.
Chip Stocks Surge: BIDU-SW (09888.HK) and SMIC (00981.HK) experienced significant stock price increases of 8.9% and 4.2%, respectively, driven by market anticipation around new chip technologies and acquisitions.
Robotics Sector Growth: JD's partnership with Unitree Robotics led to a rise in robotics stocks, with INNOSCIENCE (02577.HK) and SANHUA (02050.HK) seeing substantial gains of 15.4% and 12.5%, respectively, reflecting growing investor interest in the sector.
Market Performance: The Hong Kong stock market saw positive movement with the HSI closing up 175 points (0.7%) at 25,935, driven by increasing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, while total market turnover reached HK$179.306 billion.
Tech Sector Gains: Major tech stocks like BABA, TENCENT, and JD-SW experienced modest gains, while stocks such as MEITUAN and BILIBILI saw more significant increases of over 2%, reflecting a strong performance in the tech sector.
Robotics Industry Boost: Stocks related to the robotics industry surged following reports of a US initiative to support the sector, with companies like SANHUA and HESAI-W seeing gains between 6.7% and 7.9%.
Automotive Sector Adjustments: Over 20 cities in mainland China have suspended or adjusted car trade-in subsidies, impacting automakers like BYD and GEELY, which still managed to see slight increases in their stock prices.

Top Ten Net Buys: The top net buys of Hong Kong stocks by southbound capital included BABA-W, XIAOMI-W, and XPENG-W, with significant inflows and varying short selling ratios.
Top Ten Net Sells: The top net sells featured CHINA SHENHUA, ABC, and WUXI BIO, showing notable outflows and short selling activity.
Market Trends: The report highlights a mix of performance among major stocks, with some experiencing gains while others faced declines, reflecting market volatility.
Analyst Insights: Related news includes Citi's expectation of exponential revenue growth for CN humanoid robot firms, with UBTECH ROBOTICS identified as a top pick.





