Brokers Anticipate 18% Year-on-Year Increase in AIA's 2025 VONB; Market Attention on Growth Trends in HK/CN Markets and Buyback Strategy
AIA's Upcoming Results: AIA is set to release its full-year results for 2025 on March 19, with forecasts indicating a value of new business (VONB) of USD5.559-5.6 billion, reflecting an 18-18.8% year-over-year increase.
Market Expectations: Investors are keen to hear about AIA's operational performance, VONB growth in Hong Kong, guidance for China, updates on Indian business, market expansion, and potential share buyback announcements.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 01299
About the author


Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 551 points (2.2%) to close at 25,959, with significant gains also seen in the HSTI and HSCEI, reflecting a strong market turnover of $330.93 billion.
Top Gainers: Notable heavyweights like Tencent and Alibaba saw substantial increases, with Tencent up 7.3% and Alibaba up 3.7%, while CATL led the HSI constituents with a 9.3% rise.
Active Stocks: Other active stocks included SMIC and AIA, which rose by 5.5% and 4.7% respectively, while Xiaomi experienced a slight decline of 0.2%.
Significant Movers: Among smaller stocks, QUANTGROUP and XUNCE had remarkable gains of 34.3% and 32.9%, respectively, while DEEPEXI TECH faced a significant drop of 17.9%.

Southbound Stock Connect Insights: HSBC Global Research highlights recent historical highs in southbound fund flows, indicating investor concerns but maintaining confidence in long-term capital inflows despite short-term volatility.
Preferred Stocks in Hong Kong: The report favors HKEX and BOC Hong Kong among Hong Kong financial stocks due to their revenue potential from increased market activity and suitability for long-term yield-oriented investors.
Chinese Financial Stocks Preference: HSBC prefers bank stocks over insurance stocks in the short term, citing stable earnings and dividends, particularly favoring large state-owned banks like ICBC and CCB.
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling data for various stocks, indicating significant short selling activity in both HKEX and BOC Hong Kong, with varying ratios across different stocks.
Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks opened higher, with the HSI up 1.3% at 25,740, the HSCEI up 1.1% at 8,676, and the HSTECH up 2% at 5,040.
Oil Price Decline: Oil prices fell significantly, impacting major producers like PETROCHINA and CNOOC, which saw declines of 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively.
Commodities Stocks Rebound: Commodities stocks experienced a rebound, with notable gains from SD GOLD, ZIJIN MINING, JIANGXI COPPER, and MMG, all showing increases between 2.1% and 4.1%.
Financial Sector Gains: The financial sector saw positive movement, with HSBC, HKEX, AIA, and Standard Chartered all reporting increases, particularly HSBC which rose 3.5%.

Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks showed mixed results, with the HSI rising 0.3% to close at 25,321, while the HSCEI and HSTECH fell by 0.4% and 0.7%, respectively, with a total market turnover of $321.872 billion.
Financial Sector Gains: Major financial stocks like HSBC and Standard Chartered saw increases of 2.4% and 2%, respectively, while AIA surged by 5.1%, indicating strong performance in the financial sector.
Pharmaceutical Sector Growth: The pharmaceutical industry experienced significant gains, with companies like Sino Biopharma and Akeso rising between 3% to over 7%, reflecting a robust market for healthcare stocks.
Automotive Sector Fluctuations: BYD Company faced a decline of 2.6%, contrasting with gains from other automakers like NIO and XPENG, which rose by 2.9% and 2.4%, respectively, highlighting volatility in the automotive sector.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 71 points (0.3%) to 25,321, while the Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) fell by 33 points (0.7%) and 32 points (0.4%) respectively, with a total market turnover of $321.87 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Meituan, and Tencent experienced declines, with Alibaba closing down 2.8% at $126.3, while HKEX and Xiaomi saw slight gains.
Notable Movers: AIA and Wharf REIC were among the top gainers, with AIA increasing by 5.1% to $85.1, while JD Health faced a significant drop of 6.2% to $47.5.
Sector Highlights: In the HSMI & HSSI sectors, WestChinaCement plummeted by 26.6%, while SH Electric surged by 15.8%, indicating varied performance across different sectors.
Broker Ratings and Price Targets: Various financial institutions have provided ratings and price targets for stocks, with JPMorgan leading at $115 and Morgan Stanley at $111, both rated as Overweight.
Other Notable Ratings: UBS and Citi have rated their stocks as Buy with price targets of $106 and $103 respectively, while Goldman Sachs and BofA Securities also maintain Buy ratings with targets of $96 and $90.
Haitong International's Position: Haitong International has an Outperform rating with a price target of $99.5, indicating a positive outlook on the stock.
Market Data Note: The HK stocks quote is delayed by at least 15 minutes, and the short selling data is current as of March 5, 2026.







