Breaking Down the Numbers: TPYP Aims for $40
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 22 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund ETF (TPYP) has an implied analyst target price of $39.66 per unit, while it is currently trading at approximately $35.58, indicating an expected upside of 11.46%.
Underlying Holdings Performance: Key holdings within TPYP, including Energy Transfer LP (ET), Plains All American Pipeline LP (PAA), and Plains GP Holdings LP (PAGP), show significant potential for growth based on analysts' target prices.
Analyst Target Comparisons: ET's average target price is $22.87, suggesting a 30.96% increase from its current price of $17.46; PAA has a target of $21.13 (20.21% upside), and PAGP's target is $21.25 (12.34% upside).
Investor Considerations: Questions arise regarding the validity of these analyst targets, prompting further research into whether they reflect realistic expectations or if they may be overly optimistic given recent market developments.
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Analyst Views on PAGP
Wall Street analysts forecast PAGP stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 24.700
Low
16.50
Averages
20.42
High
23.00
Current: 24.700
Low
16.50
Averages
20.42
High
23.00
About PAGP
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. through Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA), owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and provides logistics companies in North America. Its Crude Oil operations consist of gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, gathering systems, trucks and, at times, on barges or railcars, in addition to providing terminalling, storage and other related services utilizing its integrated assets across the United States and Canada. Its assets provide services to third parties as well as to its merchant activities. Its merchant activities include the purchase of crude oil supply and the movement of this supply on third-party assets to sales locations. Crude Oil includes its crude oil pipelines, crude oil storage and marine terminals and related crude oil marketing activities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Energy Income Partners Increases Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Share Increase: Energy Income Partners increased its stake in Plains GP Holdings by 120,765 shares in Q1, with an estimated transaction value of $2.64 million, indicating confidence in the company's market outlook.
- Value Growth: By quarter-end, the fund's total holdings were valued at $217.91 million, reflecting an increase of $48.44 million due to both trading activity and share price appreciation during the period.
- Strong Business Performance: Plains GP Holdings reported a 4% year-over-year increase in first-quarter adjusted EBITDA to $582 million, driven by higher pipeline volumes and recent acquisitions, underscoring its critical role in energy infrastructure.
- Cash Flow Expectations: Management anticipates approximately $1.85 billion in adjusted free cash flow this year, coupled with a current distribution yield of about 7.5%, further enhancing investor confidence in its long-term value.
See More
Energy Income Partners Increases Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Share Increase: Energy Income Partners disclosed a purchase of 120,765 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, valued at approximately $2.64 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Stake Significance: Following this acquisition, Plains GP Holdings now represents 3.51% of Energy Income Partners' assets under management, highlighting its importance within the investment portfolio.
- Performance Growth: Plains GP Holdings reported a 4% year-over-year increase in Q1 adjusted EBITDA to $582 million, driven by higher pipeline volumes and recent acquisitions, showcasing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Cash Flow Outlook: Management anticipates approximately $1.85 billion in adjusted free cash flow for 2026, further solidifying the company's critical role in energy infrastructure.
See More
Plains Completes Sale of NGL Business to Keyera
- Transaction Completion: Plains All American Pipeline has completed the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary Plains Midstream Canada ULC for approximately $3.3 billion, which will be used to repay certain debts and for general partnership purposes, thereby enhancing the company's financial stability.
- Leverage Ratio Improvement: Following this transaction, Plains expects its leverage ratio to trend toward the midpoint of its target range of 3.25 to 3.75x, indicating a more robust financial structure that will help boost investor confidence.
- Business Transformation: This sale marks Plains' transformation into a pure-play crude oil midstream company, which will reduce exposure to commodity price volatility and enhance free cash flow, supporting lower maintenance capital and corporate taxes, thus improving overall profitability.
- Enhanced Market Competitiveness: Plains' remaining crude asset portfolio spans multiple destinations from Canada to the U.S. Gulf Coast, particularly Corpus Christi as a primary U.S. oil export market, which is expected to further strengthen the company's competitive position in the North American market.
See More
Plains GP Holdings Q1 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Plains GP Holdings reported Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.24, missing expectations by $0.15, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $12.47 billion, an 8.7% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $480 million, demonstrating continued business growth amid rising oil prices.
- Market Reaction: Despite strong revenue performance, the stock may experience volatility due to the earnings miss, potentially influencing investor decisions in the short term.
- Future Outlook: With increasing oil price fluctuations and regulatory challenges, Plains GP Holdings may need to adjust its strategy to navigate market changes and ensure sustained shareholder returns and business stability.
See More
Plains All American Reports Strong Q1 2026 Results and Raises EBITDA Guidance
- Q1 Net Income: Plains All American Pipeline reported a net income of $152 million for Q1 2026, a 66% decline year-over-year, yet generated $418 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain cash generation in the current market environment.
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Increase: The company raised its full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance by $130 million to $2.880 billion, reflecting a strong oil macro environment and contributions from its NGL business, which is expected to bolster investor confidence.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Growth capital expenditures for 2026 remain at $350 million, with maintenance capital increasing to $185 million, indicating the company's commitment to future growth, particularly in its NGL asset holdings.
- Dividend Yield: The company declared a cash distribution of $0.4175 per unit, representing an annualized yield of approximately 7.5%, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors and further solidify its market position.
See More
Plains All American Reports Strong Q1 Results and Raises 2026 EBITDA Guidance
- Q1 Net Income: Plains All American reported a net income of $152 million for Q1 2026, reflecting a 66% decline year-over-year, yet demonstrating resilience in the current oil and gas market, which is expected to lay a solid foundation for future financial performance.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $730 million in Q1, down 3% from 2025, but raised its 2026 EBITDA guidance by $130 million to $2.88 billion, indicating a strong recovery in the oil market and contributions from its NGL business.
- Increased Cash Distribution: The quarterly cash distribution was set at $0.4175 per unit, representing an annualized yield of approximately 7.5%, which not only boosts investor confidence but also underscores the company's commitment to financial discipline and capital returns.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The growth capital expenditure for 2026 remains at $350 million, with maintenance capital rising to $185 million, reflecting the company's strategic decision to continue investing in infrastructure to support future growth.
See More
Energy Income Partners Increases Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Share Increase: Energy Income Partners increased its stake in Plains GP Holdings by 120,765 shares in Q1, with an estimated transaction value of $2.64 million, indicating confidence in the company's market outlook.
- Value Growth: By quarter-end, the fund's total holdings were valued at $217.91 million, reflecting an increase of $48.44 million due to both trading activity and share price appreciation during the period.
- Strong Business Performance: Plains GP Holdings reported a 4% year-over-year increase in first-quarter adjusted EBITDA to $582 million, driven by higher pipeline volumes and recent acquisitions, underscoring its critical role in energy infrastructure.
- Cash Flow Expectations: Management anticipates approximately $1.85 billion in adjusted free cash flow this year, coupled with a current distribution yield of about 7.5%, further enhancing investor confidence in its long-term value.
See More
Energy Income Partners Increases Stake in Plains GP Holdings
- Share Increase: Energy Income Partners disclosed a purchase of 120,765 shares of Plains GP Holdings in Q1 2026, valued at approximately $2.64 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Stake Significance: Following this acquisition, Plains GP Holdings now represents 3.51% of Energy Income Partners' assets under management, highlighting its importance within the investment portfolio.
- Performance Growth: Plains GP Holdings reported a 4% year-over-year increase in Q1 adjusted EBITDA to $582 million, driven by higher pipeline volumes and recent acquisitions, showcasing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Cash Flow Outlook: Management anticipates approximately $1.85 billion in adjusted free cash flow for 2026, further solidifying the company's critical role in energy infrastructure.
See More
Plains Completes Sale of NGL Business to Keyera
- Transaction Completion: Plains All American Pipeline has completed the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary Plains Midstream Canada ULC for approximately $3.3 billion, which will be used to repay certain debts and for general partnership purposes, thereby enhancing the company's financial stability.
- Leverage Ratio Improvement: Following this transaction, Plains expects its leverage ratio to trend toward the midpoint of its target range of 3.25 to 3.75x, indicating a more robust financial structure that will help boost investor confidence.
- Business Transformation: This sale marks Plains' transformation into a pure-play crude oil midstream company, which will reduce exposure to commodity price volatility and enhance free cash flow, supporting lower maintenance capital and corporate taxes, thus improving overall profitability.
- Enhanced Market Competitiveness: Plains' remaining crude asset portfolio spans multiple destinations from Canada to the U.S. Gulf Coast, particularly Corpus Christi as a primary U.S. oil export market, which is expected to further strengthen the company's competitive position in the North American market.
See More
Plains GP Holdings Q1 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Plains GP Holdings reported Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.24, missing expectations by $0.15, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $12.47 billion, an 8.7% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $480 million, demonstrating continued business growth amid rising oil prices.
- Market Reaction: Despite strong revenue performance, the stock may experience volatility due to the earnings miss, potentially influencing investor decisions in the short term.
- Future Outlook: With increasing oil price fluctuations and regulatory challenges, Plains GP Holdings may need to adjust its strategy to navigate market changes and ensure sustained shareholder returns and business stability.
See More
Plains All American Reports Strong Q1 2026 Results and Raises EBITDA Guidance
- Q1 Net Income: Plains All American Pipeline reported a net income of $152 million for Q1 2026, a 66% decline year-over-year, yet generated $418 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain cash generation in the current market environment.
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Increase: The company raised its full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance by $130 million to $2.880 billion, reflecting a strong oil macro environment and contributions from its NGL business, which is expected to bolster investor confidence.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Growth capital expenditures for 2026 remain at $350 million, with maintenance capital increasing to $185 million, indicating the company's commitment to future growth, particularly in its NGL asset holdings.
- Dividend Yield: The company declared a cash distribution of $0.4175 per unit, representing an annualized yield of approximately 7.5%, which is likely to attract income-seeking investors and further solidify its market position.
See More
Plains All American Reports Strong Q1 Results and Raises 2026 EBITDA Guidance
- Q1 Net Income: Plains All American reported a net income of $152 million for Q1 2026, reflecting a 66% decline year-over-year, yet demonstrating resilience in the current oil and gas market, which is expected to lay a solid foundation for future financial performance.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $730 million in Q1, down 3% from 2025, but raised its 2026 EBITDA guidance by $130 million to $2.88 billion, indicating a strong recovery in the oil market and contributions from its NGL business.
- Increased Cash Distribution: The quarterly cash distribution was set at $0.4175 per unit, representing an annualized yield of approximately 7.5%, which not only boosts investor confidence but also underscores the company's commitment to financial discipline and capital returns.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The growth capital expenditure for 2026 remains at $350 million, with maintenance capital rising to $185 million, reflecting the company's strategic decision to continue investing in infrastructure to support future growth.
See More
