BofAS Maintains Underperform Rating on COSCO SHIP HOLD/OOIL as Container Shipping Sector Still Faces Challenges
Industry Outlook: The container shipping industry is expected to face challenges, with BofA Securities predicting an EBIT loss in 2026 due to oversupply and the reopening of the Red Sea route.
Vessel Supply Impact: Significant growth in vessel supply in the first half of 2026 will contribute to the industry's struggles, compounded by the reopening of the Red Sea route in the second half of the year.
Investment Recommendations: BofA Securities has maintained an Underperform rating on COSCO SHIP HOLD and OOIL, advising investors to be cautious of negative developments related to the Red Sea route.
Market Conditions: The report highlights the potential for declining spot freight rates as port congestion eases and seasonal factors weaken, which could further impact the shipping market.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 00316
About the author


Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 518 points (2.0%) to close at 25,249, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Ping An, and Tencent saw significant drops, with Alibaba closing down 3.6% and Ping An down 2.2%, while Xiaomi was an exception, gaining 1.3%.
Notable Movers: Chinahongqiao surged by 6.0%, while AIA and Wuxi Biologics dropped by 4.7% and 4.6%, respectively, indicating mixed performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, with HSBC and HKEX showing notable short selling activity, reflecting market sentiment and investor strategies.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 717 points (2.8%) to 25,051, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.0% and 2.4%, respectively.
Notable Stock Movements: Major companies like Ping An, Alibaba, and AIA saw significant drops in their stock prices, with Ping An down 4.6% and Alibaba down 4.2%.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling volumes were reported for several stocks, including Alibaba ($1.56B) and Tencent ($1.91B), indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Gainers and Losers: While many stocks declined, XIAOMI showed a slight increase of 1.5%, and XXF surged by 22.8%, contrasting with significant losses from companies like DALIPAL HLDG and COSCO SHIP ENGY, which dropped over 10%.

Stock Performance Overview: COSCO SHIP HOLD and OOIL saw increases in their stock prices, while SITC, AIR CHINA, CATHAY PAC AIR, and CHINA SOUTH AIR experienced declines.
Short Selling Data: Significant short selling activity was noted across various stocks, with OOIL having the highest ratio at 24.107%, while COSCO SHIP HOLD had a ratio of 10.920%.
Analyst Ratings: Most companies listed received an "Underweight" rating, except for CATHAY PAC AIR, which was rated as a "Buy," and SITC, which was rated as "Hold."
Market Insights: Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on oil tanker shipping but advises an underweight position on container shipping stocks.

Impact on Oil and Gas Trade: Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has tightened tanker fleet capacity and increased freight rates for long-haul transport, particularly affecting routes from the Americas and West Africa.
Container Shipping Sector Effects: Disruptions at Middle Eastern ports, which handle 5% of global container throughput, may lead to increased new ship orders despite worsened port congestion.
Airline Sector Profit Concerns: Escalating oil prices are expected to significantly reduce profits for Asian airlines, with a 10% increase in oil prices potentially decreasing profits for Chinese airlines by 68%.
Broker Ratings: HSBC Global Research has maintained a Reduce rating on several shipping and airline companies, including COSCO SHIP HOLD, AIR CHINA, and CHINA SOUTH AIR, amid these market challenges.
Market Overview: The US-Iran war escalation negatively impacted global stock markets, with the Hong Kong stock market closing lower; the HSI fell by 1.1% to 25,768 points.
Gas and Oil Stocks Performance: KUNLUN ENERGY rose by 1.7%, while SINOPEC CORP dropped by 2.7%. PETROCHINA and CNOOC saw significant gains of 5% and 3.2%, respectively.
Decline in Gold and Lithium Stocks: Gold and silver stocks experienced substantial losses, with companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING falling between 5-6.3%. Lithium stocks also plummeted, with TIANQI LITHIUM and GANFENGLITHIUM down by 8.1% and 10.9%.
Tech Sector Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W saw slight declines, while NTES-S gained 1.4%, potentially benefiting from its inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 291 points (1.1%) to close at 25,768, with a total market turnover of $370.55 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced declines, with Xiaomi dropping 4.7% and Meituan down 2.3%.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Solar and Zijin Mining saw significant losses, with Xinyi Solar down 6.3% and Zijin Mining down 6.1%, while ENN Energy and PetroChina gained 5.1% and 5%, respectively.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including Ping An at 27% and BYD Electronic at 28.6%, indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.





