American Tower (AMT) Eyes 2026 Recovery with Dividend Growth and Network Expansion
- Dividend Growth Potential: American Tower anticipates increasing its annual dividend from $6.80 per share in 2025 to $9.10 by 2030, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns despite an expected rise in payout ratio to over 68%.
- Network Expansion Opportunities: With U.S. mobile data growing at 35% annually, industry experts predict carriers will need to double network capacity over the next five years, creating long-term opportunities for new tenant additions and equipment upgrades for American Tower.
- Cost Efficiency Improvements: Since 2020, American Tower has expanded its EBITDA margins by approximately 300 basis points while reducing operating expenses in multiple years, showcasing the company's success in cost control despite business growth.
- Data Center Growth: American Tower's CoreSite data center business achieved double-digit revenue growth in Q3 and signed record retail leasing deals, indicating sustained growth potential in meeting market demand.
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- Current Credit Rating: American Tower holds a BBB+ rating from all three major credit rating agencies, with a net leverage ratio of 4.9 times, indicating improvement in debt management but still falling short of the A rating threshold.
- Financial Health: As of September 30, 2025, the company has approximately $37 billion in total debt, which is high, yet its third-quarter adjusted EBITDA reached $1.816 billion, implying an annualized run rate exceeding $7.2 billion, showcasing strong cash flow and liquidity.
- Legal Risk Factors: The company is embroiled in disputes over tower rents with AT&T Mexico and has filed a lawsuit against DISH, which, while not directly impacting financials, adds caution to rating agencies regarding future upgrades.
- Growth Prospects and Challenges: Despite a 300 basis point increase in EBITDA margin since 2020 and a 5.3% year-over-year growth in AFFO per share, future rating upgrades depend on management's ability to balance growth spending with debt reduction.
Company Performance: AST Space Mobile has seen a significant increase in its stock, climbing over 240% since 2025, with shares up 24% year-to-date despite some volatility and setbacks in its launch schedule.
Government Contracts: The company was awarded a government contract for its scalable homeland defense services, which is expected to bolster its operations and credibility in the space communications sector.
Upcoming Launches: AST Space Mobile is preparing for the launch of its Bluebird 7 satellite, which is set to transport its next-generation technology into low Earth orbit, aiming to meet ambitious launch targets by the end of 2026.
Market Position and Challenges: Despite its growth, analysts express skepticism about AST's ability to meet its launch goals, with concerns about its current pace and the potential for missing targets, which could impact its long-term market position against competitors like SpaceX.
- Leadership Recognition: CoreSite's Chief Revenue Officer, Maile Kaiser, has been selected for the 2026 CRN Channel Chiefs list, highlighting her exceptional contributions to shaping channel strategy and driving industry innovation, thereby enhancing the company's reputation in the IT sector.
- Partner Ecosystem Enhancement: Under Kaiser's leadership, CoreSite has successfully strengthened and diversified its partner ecosystem by onboarding new service providers and technology alliances, which has improved market competitiveness and client responsiveness.
- Agile Operating Model Transformation: The company's shift towards a more agile operating model has deepened local partner engagement and driven more targeted collaboration, resulting in improved overall business efficiency and customer satisfaction.
- AI Enablement Enhancing Value: By expanding AI capabilities, CoreSite has enhanced technical training and resource allocation, creating greater value for partners while helping clients address complex IT infrastructure challenges and accelerating business outcomes.
- Infrastructure Demand Surge: Driven by skyrocketing demand for chips in AI applications, American Tower is quietly building data centers to support AI workloads, positioning itself advantageously in the market.
- Acquisition Enhances Competitiveness: By acquiring CoreSite for $10.1 billion in 2021, American Tower gained 25 data centers, reinforcing its strategic position in 5G deployment while providing essential infrastructure for AI applications.
- High-Bandwidth Connectivity Advantage: The launch of 400 Gbps AWS Direct Connect at CoreSite's Chicago data center makes it an ideal location for high-bandwidth AI applications, attracting financial firms to leverage this advantage for accelerated real-time data processing.
- Significant Future Growth Potential: As financial firms race to harness AI for trading efficiency, American Tower's data centers could become their secret weapon for success, potentially delivering substantial returns and enhancing the company's market value.
Retail vs. Institutional Investors: Over the past five years, retail traders have pursued hype-driven investments while institutional investors have focused on fundamentals, leading to a divide in strategies. However, recent trends suggest a shift as institutional investors begin to align with retail trends, particularly in the technology sector.
Rocket Lab's Market Position: Rocket Lab has gained significant attention from retail investors due to its transparent leadership and frequent launches. Recent upgrades from major investment banks have raised its price targets, indicating a bullish outlook for the company as it transitions into a larger-scale infrastructure provider.
AST SpaceMobile's Ambitious Goals: AST SpaceMobile is attempting to connect standard cell phones directly to satellites, a feat previously thought impossible. The company is currently trading around $108, but it remains a controversial stock with a significant portion of shares sold short, indicating skepticism among some investors.
Investment Strategies in the Space Sector: Investors are encouraged to consider diversified options like the Procure Space ETF, which holds shares in various space-related companies, providing exposure to the sector's growth without the volatility of individual stocks. This approach allows for a balanced investment strategy amid the excitement surrounding space exploration.
- Dividend Yield Expectation: American Tower Corp (AMT) currently has an annualized dividend yield of 3.8%, which is based on its historical profitability and dividend payment record, indicating the company's potential for stable returns.
- Volatility Analysis: AMT's trailing twelve-month volatility stands at 24%, and with the current stock price at $179.51, investors can better assess the risk-reward profile, especially when considering selling covered calls at the $180 strike price.
- Options Trading Dynamics: As of Tuesday afternoon, the put volume among S&P 500 components was 802,997 contracts, while call volume reached 1.61M, resulting in a put:call ratio of 0.50, indicating a significant preference for call options in the market.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: The current put:call ratio is below the long-term median of 0.65, reflecting a bullish sentiment among investors regarding American Tower Corp's future performance, which may drive the stock price higher.








