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  5. Harvard Economist's Unexpected Change of Heart on Bitcoin's $100 Decline Forecast

Harvard Economist's Unexpected Change of Heart on Bitcoin's $100 Decline Forecast

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Aug 20 2025
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  • Rogoff's Admission: Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff has acknowledged that his 2018 prediction of Bitcoin dropping to $100 was incorrect, highlighting the unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency markets.

  • Initial Predictions vs. Reality: Rogoff initially believed regulatory pressures would hinder Bitcoin's growth, but the cryptocurrency not only survived but peaked at around $69,000 in November 2021 and stabilized between $16,000 and $17,000 by late 2023.

  • Market Resilience: The resilience of Bitcoin challenges previous skepticism, indicating a maturing market that is integrating with traditional finance, leading Rogoff to reconsider the inevitability of a complete regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrencies.

  • Crypto as an Asset Class: The evolution of Bitcoin from a speculative investment to a mainstream asset class reflects broader acceptance among institutional investors and governments, emphasizing the need for updated strategies in response to the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape.

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About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon
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Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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