Bernstein Analyzes Bitcoin Bear Market and Year-End Price Prediction

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: 1 hour ago

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Bitcoin Price Fluctuation: Bitcoin's price dropped from nearly $63,000 to below $62,000, primarily due to sell-off risks from Strategy, indicating market sentiment's fragility.
Historical Correction Analysis: Bernstein analysts noted that Bitcoin has fallen 54% from its peak of $126,000, but this correction is significantly milder compared to the 75% to 90% drops seen in past bear markets, suggesting a potential stabilization in the market.
Investor Confidence: Despite selling pressure, Strategy has invested approximately $1.4 billion this year, purchasing around 175,000 BTC, demonstrating long-term confidence in Bitcoin, with analysts believing strong buying power will limit downside risks.
Year-End Target Adjustment: While Bernstein maintains a year-end target of $150,000 for Bitcoin, they now describe this prediction as “ambitious” following the recent decline, reflecting the uncertainty and risks in the market.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 5 technical signals, shows that 1 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	51770.187	54785.188	57968.997	60983.998	64167.807	67182.808	70366.617
Fibonacci	54785.188	57153.134	58616.053	60983.998	63351.944	64814.863	67182.808

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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