Assessment of CLARITY Act's 2026 Passage Odds

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Apr 23 2026

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Passage Probability: Alex Thorn from Galaxy Digital assesses the odds of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 at roughly 50% or lower, primarily due to the number of unresolved questions exceeding Washington's general understanding, with time pressure being the biggest enemy.
Market Expectation Shift: Polymarket traders currently price the bill's passage at approximately 43%, a significant drop from 82% earlier this year, reflecting the cumulative impact of delays and calendar pressures.
Core Risk Identification: Thorn's analysis indicates that the risks facing the bill are not from any single issue but from the sequential challenges of multiple unresolved questions, where any delay could lead to failure.
Market Impact Analysis: JPMorgan analysts suggest that passage of the CLARITY Act by mid-year would serve as a positive catalyst for digital asset markets; however, Galaxy's assessment warns that the path to passage is narrower than the optimistic forecasts from Washington and the crypto industry suggest.

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Technical Analysis for XRP

Technical Sentiment Analysis for XRP (XRP). As of , XRP (XRP) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 1 indicators are flashing buy, while 2 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, XRP is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

XRP (XRP) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	0.918	1.018	1.093	1.193	1.267	1.368	1.442
Fibonacci	1.018	1.085	1.126	1.193	1.26	1.301	1.368

About XRP

Launched in 2012, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) is an open-source, permissionless and decentralized technology. Benefits of the XRP Ledger include its low-cost ($0.0002 to transact), speed (settling transactions in 3-5 seconds), scalability (1,500 transactions per second) and inherently green attributes (carbon-neutral and energy-efficient). The XRP Ledger also features the first decentralized exchange (DEX) and custom tokenization capabilities built into the protocol. Since 2012, the XRP Ledger has been operating reliably, having closed 70 million ledgers.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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