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XEL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
81.710
1 Day change
-0.21%
52 Week Range
84.230
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the company has shown strong financial performance and positive analyst sentiment, the technical indicators are mixed, hedge funds are selling significantly, and Congress trading data shows caution. Additionally, the stock has a higher probability of short-term declines based on historical patterns. It is better to hold off on buying until stronger entry signals or catalysts emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 51.61, showing no clear signal. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 84.065) and has limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios suggest a bullish sentiment in the options market. However, implied volatility is high (IV Percentile: 86.85), indicating potential price swings.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with YoY revenue growth of 14.13%, net income growth of 22.20%, and EPS growth of 17.28%.

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with UBS upgrading the stock to 'Buy' and highlighting favorable risk/reward at current levels.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 1252.85% increase in selling activity last quarter.

  • Congress trading data shows a recent sale transaction, indicating caution.

  • Historical stock trend analysis suggests a 60% chance of short-term declines (-1.1% in the next day, -2.13% in the next week).

Financial Performance

Xcel Energy reported strong Q4 2025 financials, with revenue increasing to $3.561 billion (up 14.13% YoY), net income rising to $567 million (up 22.20% YoY), and EPS improving to 0.95 (up 17.28% YoY). Gross margin also increased to 43.44% (up 12.57% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a generally positive outlook on XEL. UBS upgraded the stock to 'Buy' with a price target of $89, citing favorable risk/reward and strong earnings growth. Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $91 but maintained an 'Equal Weight' rating. Other analysts, such as BMO Capital and Mizuho, have also raised price targets, highlighting strong execution and growth potential in data center pipelines.

Wall Street analysts forecast XEL stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast XEL stock price to rise
10 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 81.880
sliders
Low
81
Averages
88.08
High
95
Current: 81.880
sliders
Low
81
Averages
88.08
High
95
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
maintain
$84 -> $91
AI Analysis
2026-02-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$84 -> $91
AI Analysis
2026-02-20
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Xcel Energy to $91 from $84 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Regulated & Diversified Utilities / IPPs stocks in North America under its coverage for January, the analyst tells investors. Morgan Stanley notes utilities underperformed the S&P's return this month. Previewing Q4 earnings, the firm expects some balance in the discussion of data center pipelines given increased affordability and political concerns.
UBS
William Appicelli
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$81 -> $89
2026-02-13
Reason
UBS
William Appicelli
Price Target
$81 -> $89
2026-02-13
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
UBS analyst William Appicelli upgraded Xcel Energy to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $89, up from $81. The firm sees a favorable risk/reward at current share levels. The stock is trading at a 4% to the utility group despite Xcel's full regulated 9% earnings growth rate and increasing data center load growth trends, the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS believes this is not priced into the shares at current levels.
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