TCPC Should I Buy
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BlackRock TCP Capital Corp (TCPC) is not a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's financial performance is poor, with significant losses and a downgraded analyst rating. Additionally, there are no strong technical or proprietary trading signals supporting a buy decision. The options data and lack of positive news further indicate weak sentiment around the stock.
The technical indicators are neutral to slightly bearish. The MACD is above 0 but contracting, RSI is neutral at 46.968, and moving averages are converging. The stock is trading near its pivot point of 4.152, with resistance at 4.416 and support at 3.889. There is no strong technical signal suggesting a buy opportunity.
Insider buying has increased significantly by 1284.25% over the last month, which could indicate some confidence from insiders.
There is no recent news or significant hedge fund activity to support the stock.
In Q4 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 769.16% YoY to -$96.43 million and a net income increase of 206.84% YoY to -$118.29 million. EPS also increased to -1.39, up 208.89% YoY. However, gross margin dropped significantly by -76.70% YoY to 22.39%. The financials indicate worsening profitability and poor performance.
Keefe Bruyette downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market Perform with a reduced price target of $3.50, citing a very poor quarter and significant investment write-downs. The outlook remains negative.
