SUZ Should I Buy
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Suzano SA is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term perspective. The technical indicators are neutral, financial performance shows significant declines in profitability, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals. While the analyst rating is positive and the company is well-positioned in its industry, the ongoing regulatory investigation into the merger with Kimberly-Clark introduces uncertainty. Holding the stock until clearer catalysts emerge or financial performance improves would be a prudent approach.
The MACD histogram is negative (-0.0969) and contracting, indicating weak momentum. RSI is at 35.292, which is neutral and not signaling oversold or overbought conditions. Moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 9.44), with resistance at R1: 10.242.
Jefferies initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $13.40 price target, citing Suzano's strong position as the number one pulp producer globally and its ability to navigate market volatility better than peers.
The UK's CMA investigation into the $3.4 billion joint venture with Kimberly-Clark introduces regulatory uncertainty. Financial performance in Q4 2025 shows significant declines in net income (-101.75% YoY), EPS (-102.15% YoY), and gross margin (-19.84% YoY).
In Q4 2025, revenue increased marginally by 0.03% YoY to $2.43 billion. However, net income dropped significantly by -101.75% YoY to $20.22 million, EPS declined by -102.15% YoY to $0.02, and gross margin fell by -19.84% YoY to 30.62%.
Jefferies analyst Francisco Barbosa initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $13.40 price target, highlighting Suzano's world-class assets, unmatched cash costs, and strategic downstream expansion.
