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SEMR Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy SEMrush Holdings Inc (SEMR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.920
1 Day change
-0.17%
52 Week Range
11.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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SEMR is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. Despite revenue growth, the company is facing significant profitability challenges, insider selling, and slowing growth concerns. The technical indicators are mildly positive, but the lack of strong positive catalysts and the bearish stock trend forecast suggest holding off on investment for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish trend. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 11.859. However, the RSI is neutral at 72.921, and the stock's short-term trend suggests a potential decline (-1.83% in the next day, -2.39% in the next week, -3.8% in the next month).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Technical indicators such as MACD and moving averages are bullish.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Stock trend analysis predicts a decline in the short to medium term.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue grew by 14.63% YoY to $117.7 million, but net income dropped significantly by 431.78% YoY to -$11.1 million. EPS fell by 450% YoY to -$0.07, and gross margin declined slightly to 80.36% (-1.60% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have expressed concerns about SEMrush's future growth, particularly with FY26 growth slowing. No recent upgrades or positive revisions in price targets were noted.

Wall Street analysts forecast SEMR stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SEMR stock price to fall
0 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 11.940
sliders
Low
8
Averages
10.25
High
12
Current: 11.940
sliders
Low
8
Averages
10.25
High
12
Jefferies
Surinder Thind
Buy -> Hold
downgrade
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2025-11-20
Reason
Jefferies
Surinder Thind
Price Target
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2025-11-20
downgrade
Buy -> Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Surinder Thind downgraded Semrush (SEMR) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $12, up from $10, after the company announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Adobe (ADBE) for $12 per share. The firm believes this is "a solid outcome for investors" given ongoing concerns around AI disrupting Semrush's business that are unlikely to dissipate anytime soon and expects the deal to close as announced.
Northland
Luke Horton
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
$12
2025-11-19
Reason
Northland
Luke Horton
Price Target
$12
2025-11-19
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
Northland analyst Luke Horton downgraded Semrush (SEMR) to Market Perform from Outperform after the company agreed to be acquired by Adobe (ADBE) for $12 per share in cash.
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