SATS Should I Buy
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EchoStar Corp (SATS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While there are some positive catalysts, such as its stake in SpaceX and potential value unlocks from spectrum sales, the technical indicators and financial performance suggest a cautious approach. Holding the stock or waiting for clearer signals would be more prudent.
The MACD histogram is negative (-1.736) and contracting, RSI is neutral at 40.034, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading below the pivot level (114.041), with support at 107.78 and resistance at 120.302. These indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
EchoStar's stake in SpaceX, which is expected to benefit from SpaceX's potential IPO and valuation growth.
Ongoing spectrum sales and tax-efficient strategies that could unlock value for shareholders.
Analyst upgrades and increased price targets from firms like TD Cowen and Deutsche Bank, citing potential upside from SpaceX and spectrum sales.
Concerns about xAI's cash burn and potential dilution from its merger with SpaceX.
The company's financials show declining revenue (-7.11% YoY) and significant net losses (-$12.78B in Q3 2025).
Neutral trading sentiment from hedge funds and insiders, with no significant activity in recent months.
In Q3 2025, revenue dropped by 7.11% YoY to $3.61B. However, net income improved significantly to -$12.78B (up 8912.77% YoY), and EPS increased to -44.37 (up 8432.69% YoY). Gross margin improved slightly to 12.76%. Despite some improvements, the overall financial performance remains weak.
Analyst ratings are mixed, with some firms like TD Cowen and Deutsche Bank maintaining Buy ratings and raising price targets (e.g., $158 and $131, respectively). However, others like Citi and UBS maintain Neutral ratings, citing uncertainties around SpaceX's IPO and valuation shifts. The consensus reflects cautious optimism but highlights risks.
