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RYAN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc (RYAN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
36.400
1 Day change
-0.14%
52 Week Range
77.160
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc (RYAN) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While hedge funds are buying heavily, the company's recent financial performance shows declining net income and EPS, and analysts have downgraded price targets significantly. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there are no strong positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals to justify immediate entry. Holding or waiting for further clarity is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.262), indicating some bullish momentum. However, RSI (38.742) is neutral, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below its pivot level (39.565), with key support at 37.924 and resistance at 41.205. Overall, the technicals suggest a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity, with a 53579.79% increase in the last quarter. No significant insider selling trends.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have downgraded the stock and reduced price targets due to slowing growth, margin compression, and disappointing financial results. The Q4 financials showed a 47.13% drop in net income and a 111.76% drop in EPS YoY. The stock's bearish moving averages and lack of recent positive news further weigh on sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 13.21% YoY to $751.21M, but net income dropped by 47.13% YoY to $7.98M. EPS also fell significantly by 111.76% YoY to 0.06. Margins remained flat.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings show a negative trend. Multiple firms downgraded the stock and reduced price targets, citing slowing growth, lower margins, and disappointing guidance. The current price targets range from $43 to $65, with most analysts maintaining Neutral or Market Perform ratings.

Wall Street analysts forecast RYAN stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RYAN stock price to rise
10 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.450
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.57
High
82
Current: 36.450
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.57
High
82
Barclays
Overweight
maintain
$52 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$52 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Ryan Specialty to $45 from $52 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The insurance broker group has "derated sharply on fears of AI-driven disruption," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays views the selloff as overdone and believes current share multiples now "more than discount" slower growth while overlooking durability of the broker business model and AI's potential to support productivity and margins. The analyst views AI as a "productivity enabler" for the brokers.
Mizuho
Neutral
downgrade
$53 -> $44
2026-02-27
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$53 -> $44
2026-02-27
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Ryan Specialty to $44 from $53 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the insurance property and casualty group following the recent sector selloff. There is "low disruption threat" to the insurance brokerage names who focus on middle-market and larger accounts from AI, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho believes disintermediation risk is "geared to mass market personal lines and the smaller end of SME."
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