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RGTI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Rigetti Computing Inc (RGTI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
18.090
1 Day change
-6.12%
52 Week Range
58.150
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/15
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RGTI is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 who is impatient and wants an immediate decision. The stock has momentum in the quantum theme, but the current pre-market dip, mixed analyst stance, high valuation risk, and lack of strong proprietary buy signals make it a hold rather than an outright buy.

Technical Analysis

Price is trading pre-market at 18.34, down 4.77%, which is below the pivot level of 18.878 and near support at 17.268. MACD histogram is still positive at 0.0853, but it is contracting, suggesting weakening upward momentum. RSI_6 at 56.1 is neutral, and moving averages are converging, which points to a cautious trend rather than a clean breakout. Overall, the technical setup is mixed and does not show a strong immediate entry.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bullish to neutral. Put-call open interest at 0.91 is close to balanced, while option volume put-call ratio at 0.38 shows heavier call activity today. However, implied volatility is high at 96 with historical volatility at 86.97, and today’s option volume is elevated versus the 30-day average, showing active speculative interest rather than strong conviction.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Investor interest in quantum computing is rising, which supports sector momentum. Rigetti’s Q1 revenue tripled to $4.4 million, driven by University of Saskatchewan sales. Analysts like Mizuho and Benchmark still see upside and continue to rate the stock Outperform or Buy, and benchmark commentary highlighted confidence in the company’s technology trajectory and strategic positioning. The company also continues progress on its superconducting roadmap and 108-qubit system deployment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The stock fell after the latest quarter because operating expenses increased sharply. Recent news also notes revenue declined in 2025 and net losses remain significant, reinforcing financial weakness. Mizuho cut its price target from $33 to $27, and Northland initiated at Market Perform with a $20 target, showing a mixed analyst backdrop. The stock’s valuation remains difficult to justify given ongoing losses, and the pre-market drop reflects immediate selling pressure.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: Q1 2026. Revenue tripled to $4.4 million, which is strong top-line growth, but that growth came alongside rising operating expenses and continued net losses. The latest quarter shows improving commercial traction, but profitability is still far from established, and the company remains in an early-stage growth-and-burn phase.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed but still slightly positive overall. Mizuho lowered its price target to $27 from $33 and kept an Outperform rating, while Benchmark kept Buy but lowered its target to $25 from $35. Northland initiated coverage at Market Perform with a $20 target, and Jefferies has a Hold rating with a $20 target. The trend in price targets is clearly downward, indicating pros still like the story but are trimming expectations. Wall Street pros view: long-term quantum upside remains compelling. Cons view: execution risk, losses, and sector malaise are still major concerns. No recent politician or influential figure buying or selling was reported, and there is no recent congress trading data.

Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise
7 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 19.270
sliders
Low
30
Averages
39.75
High
51
Current: 19.270
sliders
Low
30
Averages
39.75
High
51
Mizuho
Vijay Rakesh
Outperform
downgrade
$33 -> $27
AI Analysis
2026-05-12
New
Reason
Mizuho
Vijay Rakesh
Price Target
$33 -> $27
AI Analysis
2026-05-12
New
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered the firm's price target on Rigetti Computing to $27 from $33 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Northland
Nehal Chokshi
initiated
$20
2026-04-20
Reason
Northland
Nehal Chokshi
Price Target
$20
2026-04-20
initiated
Reason
Northland analyst Nehal Chokshi initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with a Market Perform rating and $20 price target.
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