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PD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy PagerDuty Inc (PD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
6.210
1 Day change
0.98%
52 Week Range
18.510
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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PagerDuty Inc is not a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The company is facing significant headwinds, including deteriorating fundamentals, insider selling, and a lack of positive near-term catalysts. While the company has strong gross margins, its net income and EPS have declined substantially, and analysts have lowered price targets significantly. The technical indicators and options data also suggest bearish sentiment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for PD are bearish. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, the RSI is neutral but leaning towards oversold territory, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading close to its S1 support level of 6.303, with resistance levels at 7.258 and 7.553.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • PagerDuty has been named a Leader in the GigaOm IT Incident Response Platforms for the fourth consecutive year, showcasing its strong performance in incident management and collaboration.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 411,937.50% increase in selling over the last month.

  • Analysts have significantly lowered price targets and ratings, citing disappointing financial performance and lack of near-term growth catalysts.

  • The company is transitioning to a usage-based model, which introduces execution risks.

  • Options data indicates bearish sentiment, with a high put-call volume ratio of 22.42.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, revenue increased by 2.75% YoY to $124.8M, but net income dropped by -203.91% YoY to $11M. EPS also fell by -200% YoY to 0.12. Gross margin improved slightly to 85.9%, up 2.81% YoY. Overall, the financial performance shows weak profitability and growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have downgraded the stock and significantly lowered price targets, with some citing disappointing Q4 results, flat revenue growth outlook, and deteriorating fundamentals. The consensus sentiment is mixed to negative, with a few Buy ratings but also Underperform and Market Perform ratings.

Wall Street analysts forecast PD stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PD stock price to rise
4 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.150
sliders
Low
12
Averages
16.14
High
20
Current: 6.150
sliders
Low
12
Averages
16.14
High
20
Truist
Buy
downgrade
$12 -> $9
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$12 -> $9
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on PagerDuty to $9 from $12 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company delivered results with upside to guidance on the top and bottom lines, but churn headwinds continue to drive deceleration as dollar-based net retention dipped below 100% and as PagerDuty works through a transition phase, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Underperform
downgrade
$12 -> $6
2026-03-13
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$12 -> $6
2026-03-13
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on PagerDuty to $6 from $12 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares following "mixed" fiscal Q4 results. While Q4 results were above expectations, the firm thinks a softer demand environment going forward could weigh on sentiment and cites infrastructure software peer multiple compression, elevated execution risks, and deteriorating fundamentals for its rating and lower target.
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