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MDT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Medtronic PLC (MDT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
76.150
1 Day change
-2.32%
52 Week Range
106.330
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Medtronic PLC (MDT) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The stock is currently in a bearish technical trend, with declining financial performance and mixed analyst sentiment. While there are some positive catalysts, such as the CathWorks acquisition and hedge fund buying, the lack of strong growth signals and the absence of proprietary trading signals suggest holding off on investing right now.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for MDT are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, the RSI is neutral at 37.751, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 82.856) with a pre-market price of 83.32, indicating potential downside risk. Pivot levels suggest resistance at 85.419 and 87.983, making upward movement challenging.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity, up 167.88% over the last quarter.

  • The acquisition of CathWorks for $585 million enhances Medtronic's cardiovascular product portfolio.

  • MODERATO II trial results showed promising outcomes in blood pressure reduction, which could bolster the company's product credibility.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have consistently lowered price targets, with many maintaining Neutral or Hold ratings.

  • Financial performance in Q3 2026 showed declining net income (-11.67% YoY) and EPS (-11.88% YoY), along with a drop in gross margin (-2.58% YoY).

  • The MiniMed IPO and related one-time expenses have added uncertainty to the company's near-term financial outlook.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a 60% chance of further declines in the next month (-5.32%).

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, Medtronic's revenue increased by 8.74% YoY to $9.02 billion. However, net income dropped by 11.67% YoY to $1.14 billion, and EPS fell by 11.88% YoY to $0.89. Gross margin also declined to 59.93%, down 2.58% YoY, indicating pressure on profitability despite revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, with the most recent targets ranging from $90 to $120. The majority of ratings are Neutral or Hold, with only a few Outperform or Buy ratings. Analysts cite concerns over the MiniMed IPO, one-time expenses, and the need for faster revenue and EPS growth to justify higher multiples.

Wall Street analysts forecast MDT stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MDT stock price to rise
11 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 77.960
sliders
Low
102
Averages
111.76
High
120
Current: 77.960
sliders
Low
102
Averages
111.76
High
120
Jefferies
Matthew Taylor
Hold
downgrade
$108 -> $95
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
Reason
Jefferies
Matthew Taylor
Price Target
$108 -> $95
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Matthew Taylor lowered the firm's price target on Medtronic (MDT) to $95 from $108 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated its FY26 EPS outlook to reflect MiniMed (MMED) IPO timing and one-time expenses for Minimed Flex. Jefferies added that Medtronic's announced one-time $157M charge in Q4 related to the present value of future payments owed to Blackstone for the MiniMed Flex launch added to the EPS guide revision.
UBS
Neutral
downgrade
$104 -> $90
2026-04-22
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$104 -> $90
2026-04-22
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Medtronic to $90 from $104 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model to reflect the diabetes separation.
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