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HESM Should I Buy

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$
0.000
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0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hess Midstream LP (HESM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
39.900
1 Day change
1.71%
52 Week Range
44.140
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/15
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Hess Midstream LP is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The stock shows constructive technical momentum and bullish options sentiment, but the analyst community is turning more cautious, insiders are selling, and there is no recent news or financial snapshot to confirm a fresh fundamental catalyst. Given the current pre-market price of 39.23 near resistance, the better call is to hold and wait rather than buy aggressively at this level.

Technical Analysis

Technically, HESM is in an uptrend: SMA_5 is above SMA_20 and SMA_200, MACD histogram is positive and expanding, and RSI_6 at 59.5 shows healthy but not overbought momentum. Pre-market price of 39.23 is above the pivot at 38.486 and approaching R1 at 39.712, which suggests short-term upside is still possible but entry is not especially attractive for an impatient buyer because it is already close to resistance. The stock trend model suggests mixed near-term action with about a 50% chance of slight weakness over the next day and week, but a positive one-month bias.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish. Both the open interest put-call ratio and volume put-call ratio are well below 1, indicating more calls than puts. Call open interest (8237) exceeds put open interest (3844), and call volume (150) far exceeds put volume (24). Implied volatility is elevated versus its recent averages, with IV percentile at 79.76, suggesting options traders are pricing in meaningful movement and leaning bullish.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Bullish technical trend with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200", "MACD histogram is positive and expanding", "Options market is skewed bullish with low put-call ratios", "Hedge funds are buying aggressively, with reported buying up 1799.42% over the last quarter", "Longer-term pattern data shows a positive one-month tendency"]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Morgan Stanley recently cut its price target to 38 and kept Equal Weight", "Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Sell with a 32 target", "Insiders are selling heavily, up 1944.46% over the last month", "No news catalysts in the past week", "Price is near resistance at 39.712, limiting immediate upside from current levels"]

Financial Performance

No usable latest-quarter financial snapshot was provided because the financial data returned an error, so I cannot assess the most recent quarter season or growth trends from the supplied data.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has weakened recently. Morgan Stanley lowered its target from 42 to 38 and kept Equal Weight on 2026-05-12. Earlier on 2026-04-19, Goldman Sachs downgraded HESM to Sell with a 32 target, citing slower volume growth, re-contracting risk, and a slowing capital returns framework. Before that, Morgan Stanley had raised its target to 42 on 2026-04-01 but still stayed at Equal Weight. Overall, Wall Street looks cautious to negative, with more downside-oriented commentary than upside conviction.

Wall Street analysts forecast HESM stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HESM stock price to fall
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 39.230
sliders
Low
34
Averages
36.5
High
39
Current: 39.230
sliders
Low
34
Averages
36.5
High
39
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$42 -> $38
AI Analysis
2026-05-12
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$42 -> $38
AI Analysis
2026-05-12
New
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Hess Midstream LP to $38 from $42 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.
Goldman Sachs
John Mackay
Neutral -> Sell
downgrade
$32
2026-04-19
Reason
Goldman Sachs
John Mackay
Price Target
$32
2026-04-19
downgrade
Neutral -> Sell
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst John Mackay downgraded Hess Midstream LP to Sell from Neutral with a $32 price target, implying 7% downside. The firm sees a more challenging risk/reward at current share levels. Hess Midstream's volume growth is likely to lag its midstream peers dure to a plateauing production outlook from Chevron in the basin, long-term re-contracting risk as legacy fee agreements are meaningfully above market rates, and a slowing capital returns framework, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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