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FSBW Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy FS Bancorp Inc (FSBW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
39.380
1 Day change
1.97%
52 Week Range
44.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/03
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FS Bancorp Inc (FSBW) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown solid financial growth in the latest quarter, the lack of significant positive trading trends, neutral analyst sentiment, and absence of strong technical or proprietary trading signals suggest that the stock does not present a compelling entry point currently. Additionally, the short-term stock trend indicates potential downside risk in the coming month.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 58.834, and moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in price movement. The stock is trading near its first resistance level (R1: 39.754), which could act as a barrier to further price increases.

Positive Catalysts

  • The company reported strong financial growth in Q4 2025, with revenue increasing by 9.02% YoY, net income up 14.28% YoY, and EPS rising by 21.98% YoY. Analysts expect loan growth to accelerate, and credit quality remains solid despite slightly elevated charge-offs.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have lowered the price target from $47 to $45, citing higher expenses offsetting revenue growth. There are no significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders, and the stock trend analysis indicates a potential -8.74% decline in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, FS Bancorp reported strong growth: Revenue increased to $34,964,000 (up 9.02% YoY), net income rose to $8,297,000 (up 14.28% YoY), and EPS improved to 1.11 (up 21.98% YoY). However, gross margin remained unchanged.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

DA Davidson downgraded the price target to $45 from $47 while maintaining a Neutral rating. The firm acknowledges strong revenue growth but highlights expense concerns. Analysts expect loan growth to accelerate and credit quality to remain solid.

Wall Street analysts forecast FSBW stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FSBW stock price to rise
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 38.620
sliders
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
Current: 38.620
sliders
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
DA Davidson
Neutral
downgrade
$47 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$47 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson lowered the firm's price target on FS Bancorp to $45 from $47 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings miss. From a revenue standpoint, FS closed the year in strong fashion, though expenses posed an offset, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm adds however that it expects loan growth to accelerate and also notes that credit is solid outside of somewhat elevated charge-offs.
DA Davidson
Jeff Rulis
Neutral
downgrade
$44 -> $41
2025-10-22
Reason
DA Davidson
Jeff Rulis
Price Target
$44 -> $41
2025-10-22
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson analyst Jeff Rulis lowered the firm's price target on FS Bancorp to $41 from $44 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after its Q3 results. The company's lofty net interest margins are rising even higher, and while its loan growth slowed, the bank will look to manage pricing ahead to improve net growth, which may level off net interest margins, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Some credit migration was evident but overall, the bank's asset quality is sound, the firm added.
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