ET Should I Buy
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ET
Energy Transfer LP is not a clean buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000, but it is also not a sell. The stock has supportive fundamentals, strong analyst sentiment, and very bullish options positioning, yet the price trend is still technically weak. Since the user is impatient and wants a direct call, my view is to HOLD and wait for a clearer technical turn before entering.
ET is oversold short term, with RSI_6 at 15.626, which suggests downside exhaustion may be near. However, the MACD histogram is still negative and contracting, and the moving averages remain bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, showing the broader trend is still weak. The current price around 19.97 is above the provided pivot framework but the technical setup does not yet confirm a sustained breakout. Short-term bounce potential exists, but the trend is not strong enough to call this a fresh buy today.
["Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA rose over 20% YoY to above $4.9 billion.", "Full-year EBITDA guidance was raised to $18.2 billion-$18.6 billion.", "Revenue increased 32.12% YoY in Q1 2026, showing strong top-line expansion.", "Several analysts raised price targets, with multiple Buy/Outperform/Strong Buy ratings.", "Hedge funds are reported as buying aggressively over the last quarter.", "News flow highlights strong energy demand and growth in pipeline and power infrastructure demand.", "Very bullish options sentiment with call-heavy positioning."]
["Net income declined 4.86% YoY in the latest quarter.", "EPS dropped 2.78% YoY and gross margin fell 6.59% YoY.", "MACD remains negative and the chart is still in a bearish moving-average structure.", "Jefferies still rates the stock Hold despite raising its target, indicating not all pros are fully bullish.", "No AI Stock Picker signal today and no recent SwingMax entry signal.", "No recent congress trading data and no notable insider buying trend."]
In Q1 2026, Energy Transfer showed strong growth in revenue, which rose to $27.77 billion, up 32.12% YoY, and adjusted EBITDA climbed over 20% YoY to above $4.9 billion. The company also raised full-year EBITDA guidance, which is a positive sign for the latest quarter season. However, profitability quality was mixed: net income fell 4.86% YoY, EPS slipped 2.78% YoY to 0.35, and gross margin declined 6.59% YoY. Overall, the quarter was strong on scale and operating growth, but not yet equally strong on earnings quality.
Analyst sentiment is clearly positive and improving. Citi, Raymond James, Stifel, Mizuho, and Truist all raised targets or initiated bullish coverage, with several Buy/Outperform/Strong Buy ratings and target increases into the low-to-mid $20s. Jefferies remains more cautious with a Hold, but even it raised its target and acknowledged a stronger-than-expected beat and underappreciated growth. Wall Street's pro view is that ET has improving financial discipline, strong project pipeline growth, and room for multiple re-rating. The con view is that valuation remains discounted, some analysts still question whether gas exposure alone justifies a full rerating, and free cash flow conversion concerns remain.
