Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- No news in the last week: lack of event-driven catalyst reduces odds of a fast upside move.
- Pattern-based projection: 90% chance of -2.19% next day, -0.33% next week, -4.88% next month (near-term skew to downside).
- Hedge funds/insiders: neutral positioning provides no “follow-the-smart-money” tailwind.
- No congress trading data (no influential-figure signal to lean on).
