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CHKP Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
142.370
1 Day change
0.83%
52 Week Range
233.780
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown positive financial growth in its latest quarter, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the lack of strong positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals further weakens the case for immediate investment. The investor may consider waiting for a clearer uptrend or more favorable conditions.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for CHKP are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, RSI indicates an oversold condition at 18.701, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 142.929, with resistance levels at 149.202 and 155.474. Overall, the stock is in a downtrend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's Q4 financials showed strong growth: Revenue increased by 5.85% YoY, Net Income grew by 18.25% YoY, and EPS increased by 21.65% YoY. Analysts note that the company is focusing on accelerating subscription revenue growth, which could provide a foundation for long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling, with a 135.15% increase in selling activity over the last quarter. Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, citing mixed Q4 results and execution risks in the company's cultural shift towards growth. Technical indicators are bearish, and the stock lacks recent positive news or significant institutional buying.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, CHKP reported revenue of $744.9M, up 5.85% YoY. Net income increased to $304.5M, up 18.25% YoY, and EPS rose to 2.81, up 21.65% YoY. However, gross margin slightly dropped to 86.84%, down -0.38% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed to neutral on CHKP. While some firms maintain Outperform ratings, most have lowered price targets due to mixed Q4 results and execution risks. The current price targets range from $165 to $210, with a general consensus that growth reacceleration is still a work in progress.

Wall Street analysts forecast CHKP stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CHKP stock price to rise
10 Buy
16 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 141.200
sliders
Low
195
Averages
227.67
High
285
Current: 141.200
sliders
Low
195
Averages
227.67
High
285
Wells Fargo
Richard Poland
Equal Weight
initiated
$165
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
Reason
Wells Fargo
Richard Poland
Price Target
$165
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
initiated
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Richard Poland initiated coverage of Check Point with an Equal Weight rating and $165 price target. The firm says the company is trying something it hasn't done in a long time, prioritizing growth over margins. Check Point's "cultural change bears execution risk and takes time," the analyst tells investors in a research note.
TD Cowen
maintain
2026-02-23
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
2026-02-23
maintain
Reason
TD Cowen notes that Anthropic's release on Friday of Claude Code Security generated price pressure across cybersecurity stocks, but following conversations with venture capital investors, coders, and private companies, the analyst believes AI coding assistants improve software quality and developer productivity, but they do not replace security platforms or reduce the structural demand for security. The firm sees no near-term impact on leading platform providers, adds the analyst. Publicly traded companies in the cybersecurity space include Check Point (CHKP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), CyberArk (CYBR), F5 (FFIV), Fortinet (FTNT), Gen Digital (GEN), Okta (OKTA), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), JFrog (FROG) and Qualys (QLYS).
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