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BNS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
77.530
1 Day change
-0.72%
52 Week Range
79.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/08
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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BNS looks like a good buy right now for a beginner with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The stock has a constructive technical setup, strong Q1 earnings growth, and mostly supportive options sentiment. Even though recent analyst actions have turned more cautious, the business fundamentals are improving and the current setup is acceptable for an investor who wants to buy now rather than wait for a perfect entry.

Technical Analysis

The chart trend is bullish. SMA_5 is above SMA_20 and SMA_200, which signals a positive trend structure. MACD histogram is positive at 0.119, though contracting, so momentum is still supportive but not accelerating. RSI_6 at 64.187 is healthy and not overbought. Price at 78.09 is near pivot 76.898 and just below R1 78.544, showing the stock is trading in the upper part of its near-term range. Overall, the technical picture favors an ongoing uptrend with moderate near-term upside.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is moderately bullish. A put-call ratio below 1 on both open interest and volume suggests more call activity than put activity. Open interest put-call ratio at 0.56 and volume put-call ratio at 0.63 both point to constructive sentiment. IV percentile is high at 92.43, meaning options are relatively expensive versus the past year, but that mostly matters for option buyers rather than long-term stock investors. AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today. SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Q1 2026 revenue rose 6.82% year over year", "Q1 2026 net income rose 110.24% year over year", "Q1 2026 EPS rose 162.12% year over year", "Bullish moving-average alignment suggests trend continuation", "Options flow is supportive with put-call ratios below 1", "No negative news in the last week"]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Recent analyst downgrades from Canaccord and TD Securities to Hold", "Consensus concern that valuation may already reflect improving returns", "MACD momentum is positive but contracting", "No recent news catalyst to drive a strong near-term breakout", "No recent congress or insider buying signal"]

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, BNS showed strong operating improvement. Revenue increased to 9.841 billion, up 6.82% year over year. Net income increased to 2.155 billion, up 110.24% year over year, and EPS rose to 1.73, up 162.12% year over year. This is a very strong latest-quarter season and suggests earnings recovery and improved profitability trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has softened recently. Canaccord downgraded Scotiabank to Hold from Buy on 2026-03-09 and cut its price target to C$110 from C$118. TD Securities also downgraded it to Hold from Buy on 2026-03-03 with a slightly lower target of C$111 from C$112. Earlier in late February, several firms raised targets after strong Q1 results, including RBC, BMO, Canaccord, Barclays, and Raymond James, but the more recent trend is clearly toward caution. Wall Street’s pros: improving earnings, better credit performance, and solid Q1 results. Cons: relative lag versus peers in Canadian P&C and Wealth Management, and concerns that valuation already reflects much of the improvement.

Wall Street analysts forecast BNS stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BNS stock price to fall
4 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 78.090
sliders
Low
68.69
Averages
75.58
High
79.76
Current: 78.090
sliders
Low
68.69
Averages
75.58
High
79.76
Canaccord
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$118 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$118 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Canaccord downgraded Scotiabank to Hold from Buy with a price target of C$110, down from C$118.
Canaccord
Matthew Lee
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$118 -> $110
2026-03-09
Reason
Canaccord
Matthew Lee
Price Target
$118 -> $110
2026-03-09
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
As previously reported, Canaccord analyst Matthew Lee downgraded Scotiabank to Hold from Buy with a price target of C$110, down from C$118. Scotiabank still has areas to address in the Canadian P&C bank and Wealth Management, where it has generally lagged the group, says the analyst. While the firm previously believed that Scotiabank would close the P/E gap with peers to 5%, it now expects the discount to remain unchanged given the firm's "relatively modest" ROE expectations, the analyst tells investors.
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