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BLD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TopBuild Corp (BLD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
365.290
1 Day change
-3.86%
52 Week Range
559.470
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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TopBuild Corp (BLD) is not a good buy right now for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock is currently in a downtrend, with technical indicators signaling oversold conditions but no clear reversal. Financial performance in the latest quarter shows declining profitability despite revenue growth, and hedge funds are aggressively selling. Additionally, options data suggests bearish sentiment, and there are no recent positive news catalysts or congress trading data to support a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a downtrend with MACD below zero and negatively expanding (-14.221), RSI at 8.465 indicating oversold conditions, and converging moving averages. Key support levels are at S1: 419.962 and S2: 391.391, with the stock price currently below these levels. The stock has a 50% chance of further declines in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data indicates bearish sentiment with a higher put-call volume ratio (1.27), suggesting more put activity relative to calls. Implied volatility is at 41.33, with an IV percentile of 59.76, indicating moderate volatility.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
12
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL. No recent news or significant positive developments.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are aggressively selling, with a 2972.24% increase in selling activity last quarter. Financial performance shows declining net income (-30.57% YoY) and EPS (-26.81% YoY). Analysts have mixed ratings with some downgrades in price targets.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 13.19% YoY to $1.485 billion. However, net income dropped by 30.57% YoY to $104.5 million, and EPS fell by 26.81% YoY to 3.74. Gross margin also declined to 27.24%, down 8.84% YoY, indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views. While some raised price targets (e.g., Wells Fargo to $600), others lowered them (e.g., Benchmark to $500). Ratings range from Buy to Sector Perform, with concerns about underperformance relative to peers and housing market challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast BLD stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BLD stock price to rise
7 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 379.960
sliders
Low
410
Averages
486.75
High
536
Current: 379.960
sliders
Low
410
Averages
486.75
High
536
Evercore ISI
Stephen Kim
In Line
maintain
$448 -> $471
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
Reason
Evercore ISI
Stephen Kim
Price Target
$448 -> $471
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
maintain
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim raised the firm's price target on TopBuild to $471 from $448 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares.
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
maintain
$410 -> $433
2026-02-27
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$410 -> $433
2026-02-27
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
RBC Capital raised the firm's price target on TopBuild to $433 from $410 but keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The company's results and guide were relatively consistent with Owens Corning (OC) insulation outlook, though organic results have continued to underperform peer Installed Building Products (IBP), the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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