AOMR Earnings

AOMR reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 10.18M against an estimate of 10.56M, resulting in a -3.61% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.26 by -100%. The stock experienced a -0.98% price change on the earnings day and a -2.51% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AOMR's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by -0.98% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.51% change. Historically, AOMR's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.27% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 2.37% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate AOMR's annual revenue to reach 11.95M, while the EPS is projected at 0.32. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between AOMR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AOMR's stock price typically moves by -0.27% in the 10 days before its earnings and 2.37% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.32 and revenue of 11.95M.

The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with significant increases in net income and reduced operating expenses. The company demonstrates effective capital recycling and has a positive outlook on HELOC and non-QM loan markets. Despite a slight dip in economic book value, the overall sentiment is positive with robust ROEs and low delinquency rates. The Q&A confirms confidence in continued growth and market stability, although there is some caution regarding private credit impacts. The absence of a market cap suggests a moderate reaction, likely within the 2% to 8% range.