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ALV Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Autoliv Inc (ALV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
107.630
1 Day change
-0.21%
52 Week Range
130.140
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Autoliv Inc (ALV) is not a strong buy at the moment for a long-term, beginner investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there are no strong positive catalysts to offset the negative sentiment from hedge fund and insider selling. Additionally, the company's financial performance shows declining profitability metrics, and there are no recent signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals to suggest a compelling entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding (-1.455), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 9.305, signaling the stock is oversold. Moving averages are converging, which suggests indecision in price direction. The stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 111.454), but it has broken below the pivot point of 117.39. This indicates a weak technical setup.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
11
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL significant. Analysts maintain some buy ratings with price targets above the current price, and there is potential upside if global production improves or if the USMCA issue is resolved.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds and insiders are selling heavily, with hedge fund selling up 2642.64% and insider selling up 1638.49%. The company's Q4 financials show declining net income (-7.00% YoY), EPS (-2.92% YoY), and gross margin (-3.56% YoY). Analysts have lowered price targets, citing soft revenue guidance and cautious industry outlook.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.68% YoY to $2.817 billion. However, net income dropped by 7.00% YoY to $226 million, EPS declined by 2.92% YoY to $2.99, and gross margin fell by 3.56% YoY to 20.31%. These metrics indicate growth in revenue but declining profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed, with some maintaining buy ratings but lowering price targets. Recent changes include Berenberg lowering the target to SEK 1,194, Baird to $132, RBC Capital to $141, and Barclays to $140. TD Cowen raised the target slightly to $152, citing margin expansion despite softer revenue guidance.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALV stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALV stock price to rise
8 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 107.860
sliders
Low
117.6
Averages
135.47
High
150
Current: 107.860
sliders
Low
117.6
Averages
135.47
High
150
Berenberg
Buy
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
Reason
Berenberg
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Berenberg lowered the firm's price target on Autoliv to SEK 1,194 from SEK 1,263 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Baird
Neutral
downgrade
$137 -> $132
2026-02-02
Reason
Baird
Price Target
$137 -> $132
2026-02-02
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Baird lowered the firm's price target on Autoliv to $132 from $137 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following a mixed Q4 report and flat 2026 organic outlook.
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