AEG Should I Buy
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Aegon Ltd (AEG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock has shown a recent decline in price, and technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. While the company has reported strong financial performance and increased dividends, the lack of significant trading signals, neutral insider and hedge fund activity, and mixed analyst ratings indicate that it is better to hold off on purchasing at this time.
The stock is in a bearish trend with the MACD histogram below zero and negatively expanding. RSI is at 27.755, which is close to oversold territory but still neutral. The moving averages are converging, and the price is below the key pivot level of 7.632, with support at 7.357 and resistance at 7.907.
Aegon reported a 45% increase in net income for 2025 and proposed a final dividend of €0.21 per share, raising the total FY25 annual dividend by 14%. The company also maintains a strong financial strength rating of A.
The stock price has declined significantly (-5.90% in the regular market and -5.64% pre-market). Analysts have lowered price targets, and UBS downgraded the stock to Neutral, citing marginal downside risk to fiscal 2027 free cash flow estimates. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there is a 90% chance of further short-term decline (-6.94% in the next day).
Aegon reported a net income of €980 million for 2025, a 45% increase from 2024. The company also proposed a final dividend of €0.21 per share, raising the total FY25 annual dividend to €0.40, a 14% increase from 2024.
Analysts have mixed views on Aegon. Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain Overweight ratings but have lowered price targets to EUR 7 and EUR 8, respectively. Deutsche Bank resumed coverage with a Hold rating and a EUR 7.30 price target. UBS downgraded the stock to Neutral, citing marginal downside risk to fiscal 2027 free cash flow estimates.
