What stocks are expected to rise today?

Important Note First

No screen or model can guarantee which stocks “will” rise today. What we can do is tilt the odds by focusing on stocks that historically and statistically have a higher probability of rising in the next session. The filters below are built exactly for that purpose.

Screening Filters

1. price: { min: 3, max: 150 }

   • Purpose: Focus on reasonably priced, tradeable stocks and avoid ultra‑penny names and very high-priced illiquid names.
   • Rationale:
     • Stocks under ~$3 are often extremely volatile, manipulated, or illiquid, which makes “today” predictions unreliable.
     • Extremely high-priced stocks (e.g., $500+) may move in smaller percentage terms and are less practical for many traders.
     • The $3–$150 range is a common band for finding active, institutionally followed stocks where price moves are meaningful but not wildly erratic.

2. monthly_average_dollar_volume: { min: 500000 }

   • Purpose: Ensure the stocks have sufficient liquidity (trading activity in dollars) for realistic entry and exit within the day.
   • Rationale:
     • A minimum of $500K average dollar volume per month filters out thinly traded names where spreads are wide and a single trade can distort price.
     • For “expected to rise today,” you want stocks where price is driven by real market interest, not a few random trades — liquidity improves reliability of any probability-based forecast.

3. moving_average_relationship: [PriceAboveMA20]

   • Purpose: Restrict to stocks in a short‑term uptrend.
   • Rationale:
     • Price above the 20-day moving average is a standard technical indicator that the stock is currently trading stronger than its recent average.
     • When a stock is already in an uptrend, the probability of another up day is typically higher than for stocks in downtrends or trading below key moving averages.
     • This aligns directly with your request: filtering for stocks with positive short-term momentum.

4. list_exchange: [XNYS, XNAS, XASE]

   • Purpose: Limit results to major, reputable U.S. exchanges: NYSE, NASDAQ, and NYSE American.
   • Rationale:
     • These exchanges enforce listing standards on size, reporting, and governance, which typically yields more reliable data and less manipulation.
     • For intraday “expected rise” screens, high-quality market data and tighter spreads are essential — both are more common on these major exchanges.

5. region: [US]

   • Purpose: Match your request for “US stock market” specifically.
   • Rationale:
     • Ensures that all results are U.S.-listed companies, aligning with U.S. trading hours, regulations, and market conditions that affect intraday price action.
     • This keeps the universe focused and directly relevant to your question.

6. one_day_rise_prob: { min: 60 }

   • Purpose: Only include stocks where a predictive model estimates at least a 60% probability of rising in the next trading day.
   • Rationale:
     • This is the central filter addressing “expected to rise today.”
     • A threshold of 60% means the model believes these stocks have better-than-random odds of finishing the day higher than their current price.
     • It doesn’t ensure gains, but it quantitatively screens for names where conditions (trend, volatility, order flow, etc.) historically coincide with positive next-day returns.

7. one_day_predict_return: { min: 1 }

   • Purpose: Focus on stocks not only likely to rise, but expected to have at least a +1% predicted return over the next day.
   • Rationale:
     • A stock could have a slightly >50% chance to go up, but with a tiny expected move (e.g., +0.1%); that may not be attractive.
     • Requiring a minimum +1% expected return filters for moves that are both more probable and potentially meaningful in size for a day trade or very short-term position.

Why Results Match Your Request

• The US region and major exchange filters tightly align with “US stock market.”
• Price and liquidity (dollar volume) filters ensure you’re looking at tradeable, practical candidates rather than untradeable microcaps.
• PriceAboveMA20 targets stocks already in a short-term uptrend, consistent with wanting names “expected to rise today.”
• one_day_rise_prob ≥ 60% directly encodes the idea of “expected to rise” as a statistical probability.
• one_day_predict_return ≥ 1% adds a minimum expected magnitude to that rise, so you’re not just finding stocks likely to tick up by a negligible amount.

In combination, these filters don’t promise gains, but they systematically narrow the U.S. market to liquid, uptrending stocks with a statistically elevated chance and meaningful expectation of rising today.