What stock will go up 5% today

You’re asking for “Which stock is likely to increase by 5% today?”
No screen can guarantee a 5% move in a single day, but these filters are designed to find stocks that historically have a higher probability of making such a move, based on price action, volume, and model-based predictions.

Screening Filters

1. relative_vol ≥ 1.5

   • Purpose: Find stocks trading with at least 1.5× their usual volume.
   • Rationale:
     • Elevated volume often signals unusual interest (news, catalysts, institutional activity).
     • Big intraday moves (like +5%) are far more likely when volume is well above normal.
     • This filter focuses on names where “something is happening” today, increasing the odds of a strong move.

2. moving_average_relationship = PriceAboveMA5

   • Purpose: Ensure the stock’s price is above its 5-day moving average (a short-term bullish trend).
   • Rationale:
     • Being above a short-term MA indicates recent upward momentum.
     • Stocks already in a short-term uptrend are statistically more likely to continue moving up than those in a downtrend.
     • This aligns with your goal of finding candidates that are more likely to rise further today.

3. price_change_pct between 1% and 3.99% (0.01 to 3.99)

   • Purpose: Target stocks that are already up today, but not yet near a +5% move.
   • Rationale:
     • A stock that’s already slightly positive shows buying interest and momentum.
     • Limiting the gain to under ~4% avoids names that have likely already made “the move” you’re looking for; there’s still room to reach +5% from here.
     • This balances confirmation of strength (not red or flat) with remaining upside potential.

4. one_day_rise_prob ≥ 60

   • Purpose: Use a probability model to select stocks with at least a 60% estimated chance of closing higher today.
   • Rationale:
     • This is a statistical, model-based estimate using historical patterns (price, volume, volatility, etc.).
     • A 60%+ threshold doesn’t guarantee gains, but it tilts the odds in your favor versus random selection.
     • It directly addresses your “likely to increase” requirement by filtering for a higher probability of an up day.

5. one_day_predict_return ≥ 5

   • Purpose: Focus on stocks where the model predicts at least a +5% return over the current day.
   • Rationale:
     • This is the most direct link to your question about a 5% move today.
     • Even if the probability of going up is decent, many stocks may only be expected to move 1–2%; this filter demands that the expected move size is at or above your 5% target.
     • It narrows results to names that historically show both direction (up) and magnitude (around +5%) potential.

Why the Results Match Your Intent

• The direction requirement (“likely to increase”) is addressed by:

  • PriceAboveMA5 (short-term uptrend)
  • one_day_rise_prob ≥ 60 (statistical edge for an up close)

• The magnitude requirement (around +5% today) is addressed by:

  • price_change_pct 1–3.99% (already moving up but not fully extended)
  • one_day_predict_return ≥ 5 (model expects roughly a +5% move)

• The timing / catalyst aspect (today) is supported by:

  • relative_vol ≥ 1.5 (unusual trading activity today, which often coincides with large same-day moves)

Overall, these filters don’t promise a 5% gain, but they systematically narrow the universe to stocks that:

• Are in a short-term bullish trend,
• Are already showing some positive momentum today,
• Have unusually strong trading activity, and
• Are statistically modeled to have both a higher chance of rising and an expected move of at least 5% over the current day.