What stock is going to break out next

Screening Filters

1. Market Cap ≥ $2,000,000,000

   • Purpose: Focus on mid- and large-cap stocks.
   • Rationale:
     • Potential breakouts in very small micro-caps can be driven by random noise, poor liquidity, or manipulation.
     • By requiring at least ~$2B market cap, the screener emphasizes more established companies, where breakouts are more likely to be technically and fundamentally meaningful, and trading is more liquid (tighter spreads, more reliable price action).

2. Relative Volume ≥ 1.5

   • Purpose: Find stocks currently trading with significantly higher activity than usual.
   • Rationale:
     • A “breakout” almost always needs above-average volume to be sustainable.
     • Relative volume ≥ 1.5 means the current trading volume is at least 50% higher than the stock’s typical volume over a recent reference period, signaling unusual interest and participation that often precedes or confirms a breakout move.

3. Moving Average Relationship: PriceAboveMA20

   • Purpose: Ensure the stock is in short-term bullish territory.
   • Rationale:
     • The 20-day moving average is a common short-term trend gauge.
     • Price above the 20-day MA indicates the stock is already in an upward trend or has recently strengthened, which is a typical precondition for an upside breakout rather than a continuation of a downtrend.

4. Support/Resistance Relationship: PriceAroundResistance

   • Purpose: Target stocks trading near a known resistance level.
   • Rationale:
     • A breakout, by definition, occurs when price pushes through a resistance zone with conviction.
     • Filtering for “PriceAroundResistance” focuses on charts where the price is pressing against overhead resistance—precisely where a breakout is most likely to be triggered if buyers absorb supply and push price higher.

5. One-Week Rise Probability: 55%–70%

   • Purpose: Tilt results toward names that historically/statistically show a higher-than-random chance of rising in the coming week, but avoid extreme/unreliable probabilities.
   • Rationale:
     • A probability band above 50% suggests a slight edge versus a coin flip that the stock may rise over the next week, consistent with the idea of a potential breakout in the near term.
     • Capping it at 70% helps avoid overly-optimistic or potentially overfitted signals, keeping the list to stocks with a favorable but realistic probability profile.

Why Results Match the Query “Likely to Experience a Breakout Next”

• Technically primed:
  • Price is above a key short-term MA (uptrend bias) and sitting near resistance (classic breakout zone).
• Supported by participation:
  • Elevated relative volume shows unusual interest, which is often necessary to push through resistance.
• Focused, not speculative chaos:
  • Market cap filter removes illiquid, easily manipulated names, making any breakout more credible and tradable.
• Timeframe-aligned probability:
  • The one-week rise probability specifically aims at short-term upside potential, consistent with “next” breakout rather than a distant move.

These filters don’t guarantee a breakout but systematically tilt the search toward stocks that, based on liquidity, trend, price location, and historical behavior, are more likely to be on the verge of a meaningful breakout.