Stocks that will go up 2% today

Quick Note on Expectations

No screen can guarantee a stock will rise ~2% today. What these filters do is identify stocks where a statistical model suggests a higher-than-average probability of a 2–5% gain over the next session, under current market conditions.

Screening Filters

1. monthly_average_dollar_volume ≥ 500,000

   • Purpose: Ensure sufficient liquidity and tradability.
   • Rationale:
     • You’re asking for stocks “likely to increase by 2% today.” Moves in illiquid micro-caps can be random, manipulated, or impossible to trade at the indicated prices.
     • Requiring at least $500k average daily dollar volume focuses on stocks where price movements are more meaningful and where you can realistically enter and exit near quoted prices.

2. moving_average_relationship: PriceAboveMA20

   • Purpose: Focus on stocks already in a short-term uptrend.
   • Rationale:
     • A price above the 20‑day moving average indicates recent bullish momentum.
     • If a stock is already trending up, the chance of a further 2% positive move today is generally higher than for a stock in a clear downtrend or below key moving averages.

3. rsi_category: moderate

   • Purpose: Avoid extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
   • Rationale:
     • “Moderate” RSI means the stock is not at an exhaustion extreme (e.g., very overbought >70 or deeply oversold <30).
     • For your goal (a possible 2% gain today), this avoids:
       • Very overbought names that might be due for a pullback.
       • Severely oversold names where a bounce is more speculative and less consistent.
     • It narrows the list to stocks in a “healthier” technical zone where a continued move higher is more statistically typical.

4. one_day_rise_prob ≥ 60

   • Purpose: Use a predictive model to favor stocks with a higher estimated chance of rising tomorrow.
   • Rationale:
     • This is a direct link to your request. A ≥60% modeled probability of a positive next-day return is meaningfully better than coin-flip odds.
     • It doesn’t guarantee a gain, but prioritizes candidates where historical patterns (price, volume, volatility, etc.) suggest a greater likelihood of an up day.

5. one_day_predict_return: 2 to 5 (%)

   • Purpose: Target the specific magnitude of move you care about.
   • Rationale:
     • This limits the list to stocks where the model’s expected one-day return falls between +2% and +5%.
     • A lower bound of 2% ensures we are focusing on names that are predicted to move at least around your desired threshold.
     • The upper bound of 5% filters out extremely volatile names where the expected move is larger and potentially riskier, keeping the focus on “normal” sized positive days.

Why These Results Match Your Request

• You asked for stocks “likely to increase by 2% today.”
• The screen:
  • Uses liquidity (dollar volume) so results are tradable and meaningful.
  • Focuses on uptrending, technically healthy stocks (PriceAboveMA20 + moderate RSI).
  • Applies a probability filter to emphasize a better-than-random chance of an up move (one_day_rise_prob ≥ 60).
  • Narrows to stocks where the model’s expected move is specifically in the 2–5% positive range, aligning directly with your target.

Together, these filters don’t promise a 2% gain, but they systematically tilt the list toward stocks with technical strength and model-estimated odds and magnitude that best fit what you’re looking for.