Stocks that should go up 10 percent today

First, an important clarification

It’s not possible to reliably guarantee which stocks will rise 10% in a single day. Any tool that attempts this is probabilistic and can be wrong, sometimes badly. What we can do is screen for stocks that, based on recent data and risk characteristics, have a higher probability of a large one-day move in the upward direction.

Below is how each filter works toward your request: “stocks in the US market that are likely to increase by 10% today.”

Screening Filters

1. Market Cap: 300M – 5B (market_cap)

   • Purpose: Focus on small- to mid-cap stocks that are more capable of big daily moves, while avoiding the tiniest, most illiquid names.
   • Rationale:
     • Very large caps (tens or hundreds of billions) rarely move 10% in a day without extreme news.
     • Very tiny microcaps (<300M) can move a lot, but often with extreme volatility, poor liquidity, and high manipulation risk.
     • The 300M–5B band is a compromise: companies still big enough to be “real businesses,” but small enough that a 10% daily move is plausible.

2. Relative Volume ≥ 1.5 (relative_vol)

   • Purpose: Select stocks trading with significantly higher-than-normal volume today.
   • Rationale:
     • A large price move (such as +10%) usually comes with a surge in trading activity.
     • Relative volume > 1.5 means the stock is trading at least 1.5× its typical volume, which often signals strong interest, news, or momentum that can drive outsized intraday moves.

3. High Beta (beta: HighRisk)

   • Purpose: Target more volatile, higher-risk stocks that historically swing more than the overall market.
   • Rationale:
     • Beta measures how sensitive a stock is to market moves.
     • “HighRisk” beta implies high volatility—these stocks tend to move more (up or down) on any given day.
     • If you are looking for potential +10% moves, you almost certainly need stocks in this higher-volatility category. The trade-off is higher downside risk as well.

4. Region: United States (region: United States)

   • Purpose: Restrict the universe to U.S.-based (or U.S.-listed) companies, as you requested “US market.”
   • Rationale:
     • Ensures the results match your geographic preference.
     • Also standardizes things like trading hours, regulatory environment, and data coverage for the screener.

5. Exchange: NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX (list_exchange: XNYS, XNAS, XASE)

   • Purpose: Limit results to the major U.S. exchanges.
   • Rationale:
     • Filters out OTC/pink-sheet names and other less-regulated venues where prices can be erratic and data less reliable.
     • NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX stocks tend to have better liquidity and more stable market structure, even when they move sharply.

6. One-Day Rise Probability ≥ 60% (one_day_rise_prob)

   • Purpose: Use a predictive model to favor stocks with a relatively high estimated probability of closing higher today.
   • Rationale:
     • You’re asking for stocks “likely to increase,” so the screener uses a probability metric to focus on names where the model sees >60% odds of a positive day.
     • This doesn’t guarantee gains, but it systematically biases the list toward setups that historically led to positive one-day returns.

7. Predicted One-Day Return ≥ 8% (one_day_predict_return)

   • Purpose: Focus on stocks that the model expects to have large positive moves, near your 10% target.
   • Rationale:
     • A threshold of ≥8% predicted return is chosen so the stocks are in the ballpark of your 10% goal.
     • It’s rare for models to point exactly to 10%, but by setting a high bar (8%+), the screener attempts to surface only those stocks where a big move is more plausible than usual.

Why the Results Match Your Intent

• The market cap, high beta, and relative volume filters work together to find stocks that can realistically move ~10% in a day and are currently experiencing unusual trading activity.
• The one_day_rise_prob and one_day_predict_return filters try to capture your “likely to increase by 10% today” requirement using a probabilistic forecast of both direction (up vs. down) and magnitude (size of the move).
• The region and exchange filters ensure that these candidates are U.S. market stocks on major exchanges, exactly as you specified.

You should still treat any such list as high risk and use it as a starting point for deeper research and strict risk management, not as a guarantee of intraday gains.