Stock to increase price today

Screening Filters

1. Market Cap ≥ 2,000,000,000 (≥ $2B)

   • Purpose: Focus on larger, more established companies.
   • Rationale:
     • Bigger firms tend to have better liquidity, more analyst coverage, and more reliable price data.
     • This helps reduce the influence of random spikes and manipulation that are more common in very small-cap or penny stocks.
     • For a question about “likely to increase today,” it’s important that price moves be driven by real information, not thin trading.

2. Relative Volume ≥ 1.3

   • Purpose: Identify stocks currently trading with significantly higher volume than usual.
   • Rationale:
     • Relative volume compares today’s trading activity to the stock’s normal average volume.
     • A value ≥ 1.3 means the stock is seeing at least 30% more trading activity than usual, signaling elevated interest or new information (news, earnings, upgrades, etc.).
     • Strong, above-average volume often accompanies meaningful price moves, increasing the odds of a sustained intraday trend.

3. PriceCrossAboveMA5 (Price crossed above 5-day moving average)

   • Purpose: Capture very short-term bullish technical signals.
   • Rationale:
     • The 5-day moving average is a short-term trend gauge.
     • When today’s price moves above this level, it often indicates a shift from short-term weakness/sideways action to strength.
     • Combining a fresh bullish technical signal with high relative volume lines up well with the idea that the stock may continue to rise today.

4. One-Day Rise Probability ≥ 65%

   • Purpose: Include only stocks where a predictive model estimates a relatively high probability of a positive return for the coming day.
   • Rationale:
     • This filter explicitly targets your goal: stocks that are more likely than not to go up today.
     • A 65% threshold is meaningfully above a coin flip (50%), tilting the list toward situations where historical patterns and current conditions suggest a higher chance of a gain.
     • It translates your qualitative question (“likely to increase”) into a quantitative probability cut-off.

5. One-Day Predicted Return ≥ 1.5

   • Purpose: Avoid stocks that might only rise by a negligible amount, focusing instead on names with a model-forecasted gain above a minimum level.
   • Rationale:
     • A stock could have a slightly positive expected probability but a very small expected move; this filter screens for both direction and magnitude.
     • By requiring a minimum predicted return (e.g., ≥ 1.5%, depending on how the model is scaled), the screener seeks stocks where any potential upside today is not only likely, but also potentially meaningful.

Why Results Match Your Question

• The technical setup (price crossing above the 5-day moving average) plus elevated trading interest (relative volume ≥ 1.3) focuses on stocks already showing intraday strength.
• The probability filter (one-day rise probability ≥ 65%) directly operationalizes “likely to increase” in statistical terms.
• The predicted return filter ensures the potential move is not trivial but has some meaningful upside.
• The market cap filter keeps the list to more established, liquid stocks, making the signals more reliable for a same-day price move scenario.