Predict most bullish ticker this year

First, an important clarification

No screener (or analyst) can truly predict “the most bullish ticker in the US stock market this year” with certainty. What we can do is screen for stocks that already display very strong momentum and have a model-based or statistical expectation of further upside—i.e., candidates with a higher probability of being among the most bullish names.

The filters your colleague used are designed with that in mind.

Screening Filters

1. list_exchange: ['XNYS', 'XNAS', 'XASE']

   • Purpose: Limit the search to major US exchanges (New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, NYSE American).
   • Rationale:
     • These are the primary US stock exchanges, matching your request for “the US stock market.”
     • Focusing on these exchanges increases data reliability, liquidity, and reduces the chance of illiquid/penny stocks distorting the results.

2. moving_average_relationship: ['PriceAboveMA20', 'PriceAboveMA200']

   • Purpose: Ensure the stock is in both short-term and long-term uptrends.
   • Rationale:
     • PriceAboveMA20: The current price is above its 20-day moving average, indicating recent, short-term bullish momentum.
     • PriceAboveMA200: The current price is above its 200-day moving average, indicating a sustained, long-term uptrend and avoiding names in longer-term downtrends or bear market rallies.
     • Together, these conditions flag stocks that are not only strong right now, but also aligned with a broader, established bullish trend—typical characteristics of “most bullish” candidates.

3. ytd_price_change_pct: {'min': '200'}

   • Purpose: Filter for extreme year-to-date outperformers (at least +200%).
   • Rationale:
     • A 200%+ YTD gain is a very high bar; this only lets through the most explosive winners.
     • If you’re looking for “the most bullish” stock, it makes sense to focus on those that have already demonstrated exceptional price performance relative to the rest of the market.
     • This avoids modest winners and narrows the universe to truly high-momentum names.

4. one_month_predict_return: {'min': '10'}

   • Purpose: Require a model-based expected gain of at least +10% over the next month.
   • Rationale:
     • This uses a predictive or quantitative model’s forecast, not just historical performance.
     • A minimum +10% predicted one‑month return suggests that, among already strong performers, we further select those where models still see meaningful upside, rather than names that may have already “peaked.”
     • This aligns with your focus on future bullishness rather than only past gains.

Why Results Match Your Intent

• The exchange filter ensures we are strictly within the US equity universe you specified.
• The price above 20- and 200-day moving averages ensures the stocks are currently in strong uptrends on multiple timeframes.
• The YTD +200% requirement targets only the most explosive, high-momentum winners that could reasonably be in the running for “most bullish” of the year.
• The positive predicted 1‑month return further refines that set to those where forward-looking models still expect substantial upside, rather than just historical outperformance.

Taken together, these filters don’t guarantee we find “the single most bullish ticker,” but they systematically isolate a small group of US-listed stocks that are strong candidates for that title based on both realized momentum and expected future gains.