Predict most bullish ticker next 6 months

Quick Note on “Most Bullish” Prediction

No screen or model can guarantee which single ticker will be “the most bullish” over the next 6 months. What these filters do is tilt you toward stocks that statistically and fundamentally have higher probability of strong upside, based on trend, quantitative signals, and analyst views.

Screening Filters

1. PriceAboveMA20 & PriceAboveMA200 (Moving Average Relationship)

   • Purpose:
     • Ensure the stock is in a clear short-term uptrend (above 20-day MA).
     • Ensure the stock is also in a long-term uptrend (above 200-day MA).
   • Rationale:
     • A price above the 20-day moving average suggests recent momentum is positive; buyers are currently in control.
     • A price above the 200-day moving average indicates a sustained, long-term uptrend rather than a short-lived spike.
     • For a 6‑month bullish outlook, you generally want stocks already trending higher on both short and long timeframes, not ones in structural downtrends or sideways ranges.

2. one_month_rise_prob ≥ 75

   • Purpose:
     • Select stocks where a model estimates at least a 75% probability of rising over the next month.
   • Rationale:
     • While your question is about 6 months, near-term probability of price increase is used as a proxy for strong momentum and favorable conditions.
     • Stocks with a high 1‑month rise probability often sit in strong trends supported by catalysts, liquidity, and sentiment—factors that can persist over multiple months.
     • This filter cuts out names with weak or uncertain short‑term prospects, focusing on those statistically more likely to keep moving higher.

3. one_month_predict_return ≥ 15%

   • Purpose:
     • Focus on stocks with a model‑predicted return of at least 15% over the next month.
   • Rationale:
     • You’re asking for the most bullish ideas; that implies high upside, not just a small expected gain.
     • Requiring a sizable predicted 1‑month return prioritizes stocks with strong positive drivers (earnings surprise potential, valuation re‑rating, momentum, etc.).
     • While the horizon is 1 month, securities that show unusually high near‑term upside potential are often the same ones that can compound strongly over several months, especially if underlying catalysts are multi‑quarter.

4. Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy / Moderate Buy

   • Purpose:
     • Include only stocks where sell-side analysts are broadly positive, as reflected in Strong Buy or Moderate Buy ratings.
   • Rationale:
     • Bullish multi‑month moves are frequently tied to earnings upgrades, estimate revisions, and positive news, which are often reflected in analyst opinions.
     • Strong or Moderate Buy consensus means:
       • Many analysts expect earnings or business fundamentals to improve.
       • The stock is generally favored vs. its sector or the market.
     • This adds a fundamental and institutional layer to the screen, not just a technical/quantitative one, aligning with a 6‑month view where fundamentals matter more than very short‑term noise.

5. Target Price Upside Potential: MoreAbovePrice

   • Purpose:
     • Ensure the consensus analyst target price is meaningfully above the current price, indicating estimated upside from here.
   • Rationale:
     • If analysts see fair value significantly above today’s price, that implies room for appreciation over their typical 6–12 month horizon.
     • This directly aligns with your “most bullish” framing: you want stocks where professionals’ central scenarios expect substantial upside relative to current levels.
     • Combining this with bullish ratings filters out cases where analysts like the company but think the stock is already fairly valued.

Why the Results Match Your Request

• Trend + Momentum for Persistence:

  • Price above both the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, plus a high 1‑month rise probability, targets stocks already in established uptrends with ongoing positive momentum, which are more likely (though never guaranteed) to stay strong over a 6‑month window.

• High Expected Upside, Not Just “Safe”:

  • The ≥ 15% predicted 1‑month return and “MoreAbovePrice” target upside explicitly push the screen toward high‑potential winners, not low‑volatility defensives.

• Fundamental Support from Analysts:

  • Strong/Moderate Buy ratings and upside to target price bring in a fundamental and institutional validation layer, important for multi‑month horizons where earnings, growth, and valuation drive returns.

Together, these filters don’t promise the single most bullish stock in the U.S., but they systematically narrow the universe toward names that combine:

• Strong technical uptrends
• High modeled short‑term upside
• Positive analyst conviction and target‑price upside

—making them more plausible candidates to be among the most bullish performers over the next 6 months.