Bullish price predictions

Screening Filters

1. moving_average_relationship: PriceAboveMA20, PriceAboveMA200

   • Purpose: Finds stocks trading above both their short-term and long-term trend lines.
   • Rationale: For a bullish price prediction request, this is one of the clearest technical signals that a stock has positive momentum now and is also in a broader uptrend.

2. macd: bullish

   • Purpose: Identifies stocks with improving momentum.
   • Rationale: A bullish MACD suggests the recent trend is strengthening, which supports the idea of upward price continuation rather than weakness or reversal.

3. rsi_category: moderate

   • Purpose: Filters for stocks that are not overly overbought.
   • Rationale: This helps avoid names that may already be stretched after a sharp run-up. For bullish predictions, a moderate RSI is often preferable because it suggests upside may still remain without being excessively extended.

4. themes: Aerospace & Defense, Renewable Energy, Industrial, Space Economy, Robotics, The Internet of Things

   • Purpose: Focuses the screen on sectors with strong structural growth and innovation narratives.
   • Rationale: UMAC and TE are tied to themes like drones, advanced manufacturing, energy transition, and industrial technology. These are the kinds of areas where investors often pay up for future growth, which supports bullish long-term price scenarios.

5. region: US

   • Purpose: Limits the screen to U.S.-listed companies.
   • Rationale: This keeps the results aligned with the user’s likely interest in U.S. names like UMAC and TE, and ensures the stocks are accessible on major U.S. exchanges.

6. list_exchange: XNYS, XNAS, XASE

   • Purpose: Restricts results to major U.S. exchanges.
   • Rationale: Stocks on NYSE, Nasdaq, and NYSE American generally have better liquidity and more reliable market data, which is important when evaluating bullish setups.

7. one_day_rise_prob: min 50

   • Purpose: Keeps stocks with at least a neutral-to-positive chance of rising over one day.
   • Rationale: This aligns with a bullish bias by filtering out stocks that the model sees as having weak short-term upside odds.

8. one_week_rise_prob: min 50

   • Purpose: Keeps stocks with at least a neutral-to-positive chance of rising over one week.
   • Rationale: This supports a short-term bullish outlook by focusing on names with favorable near-term momentum across several trading days.

9. one_day_predict_return: min 0

   • Purpose: Excludes stocks with a negative expected one-day return.
   • Rationale: For a bullish screen, it makes sense to avoid names where the model expects immediate downside.

10. one_week_predict_return: min 0

    • Purpose: Excludes stocks with a negative expected one-week return.
    • Rationale: This reinforces the bullish filter by favoring stocks with positive modeled return potential over the next week.

Why Results Match:

• The user asked for bullish price predictions for UMAC and TE, so the filters emphasize uptrend, positive momentum, and positive expected returns.
• The combination of PriceAboveMA20, PriceAboveMA200, and bullish MACD selects stocks that are already showing technical strength.
• Moderate RSI helps avoid chasing stocks that may be too overextended.
• The themes filter keeps the screen focused on the kinds of companies that fit UMAC and TE’s growth narratives.
• The probability and predicted return thresholds ensure the screen favors stocks with a modeled tendency to rise in both the short term and the next week.

In short, these filters are appropriate because they look for stocks that are already trending higher, still have room to run, and have positive modeled upside, which is exactly what a bullish prediction screen should do.