Screening Filters
Market Cap ≥ $1,000,000,000 (≥ $1B)
- Purpose: Focus on larger, more established U.S. companies.
- Rationale:
- Larger caps are generally more liquid and have tighter spreads, which is critical for shorting (entering and exiting without huge slippage).
- They tend to have more analyst coverage and more stable information flow, reducing the risk of surprise moves purely from illiquidity or lack of data.
- For “best stocks to short,” professionals usually avoid tiny, illiquid names where borrow can be hard/expensive and prices can be manipulated.
Monthly Average Dollar Volume ≥ $1,000,000
- Purpose: Ensure the stocks are actively traded and reasonably liquid.
- Rationale:
- Short-selling requires borrowing shares and being able to trade in and out efficiently. High dollar volume (price × volume) means you can move a decent position without moving the market too much.
- Low-volume stocks can “gap” on small orders, which is dangerous when you’re short and losses are theoretically unlimited.
- This filter narrows the list to names where execution risk is lower for short trades.
Price Below 200-Day Moving Average (PriceBelowMA200)
- Purpose: Find stocks already in a longer-term downtrend.
- Rationale:
- A price below the 200-day moving average is a classic technical signal of a bearish or weak trend.
- Short-sellers often prefer to short weakness (stocks already trending down) rather than trying to pick a top in strong uptrends.
- This helps align the short thesis with prevailing market momentum, improving the probability that the stock continues to underperform.
Listed on XNYS, XNAS, XASE (NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX)
- Purpose: Restrict results to major U.S. exchanges.
- Rationale:
- The user asked for “the US market”; these are the main U.S. stock exchanges.
- Major exchanges have better liquidity, more transparent trading, and more reliable pricing and corporate disclosure.
- Many brokers and short-lending desks focus predominantly on these venues, so borrow availability and execution quality tend to be better.
Annual EPS YoY Growth ≤ -10% (annual_eps_yoy_growth max ‘-10’)
- Purpose: Identify companies with declining earnings (at least a 10% year-over-year drop in EPS).
- Rationale:
- Weakening fundamentals are a common pillar of a short thesis. Falling earnings suggest possible business deterioration, margin pressure, or rising costs.
- If earnings are shrinking while the stock is still expensive, the risk of repricing (downward) increases.
- This filter steers the screen toward companies where the fundamental story is moving in the wrong direction, which short-sellers generally seek.
P/E (TTM) ≥ 40
- Purpose: Focus on stocks that are already trading at high valuation multiples.
- Rationale:
- A very high P/E suggests the market is pricing in strong growth or quality, which may be inconsistent with the actual earnings decline (per the previous filter).
- Overvalued stocks with weakening fundamentals are classic short candidates: if expectations normalize, the multiple can compress sharply, driving the stock price down.
- This tries to capture “overhyped” or “richly valued” names where downside from multiple compression is more substantial.
Why Results Match the User’s Request (“best stocks to short in the US market”)
- The screen targets U.S.-listed stocks on major exchanges (NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX), aligning with “US market.”
- It emphasizes shortable characteristics:
- Technical weakness: price already below the 200-day moving average (stocks in a downtrend).
- Fundamental deterioration: EPS shrinking by at least 10% year-over-year.
- Rich valuation: P/E above 40, making them potentially vulnerable to de-rating.
- It ensures practical shorting feasibility:
- Reasonable size and liquidity via market cap ≥ $1B and monthly dollar volume ≥ $1M, which supports borrow availability, execution, and risk management.
This set of filters doesn’t guarantee these will be the “best” shorts, but it systematically narrows the universe to liquid U.S. names with high valuations, weakening earnings, and bearish price trends—a combination that many professional short-sellers deliberately seek.
This list is generated based on data from one or more third party data providers. It is provided for informational purposes only by Intellectia.AI, and is not investment advice or a recommendation. Intellectia does not make any warranty or guarantee relating to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of any third-party information, and the provision of this information does not constitute a recommendation.