Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

10/22 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/22 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.59B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.00 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

2.59B

2.68B

+3.19%

EPSBEAT

1.00

1.24

+24.00%

AI Summary

Attend Webcast

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Oct 22, 2025

Vertiv is expected to outperform market expectations due to strong AI/data center demand and effective cost management, likely resulting in a Beat on revenue and EPS.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

20%

+8-12%

Revenue/EPS beat by >5%, backlog surges >25% YoY.

Beat

50%

+3-5%

Revenue/EPS meet/beat modestly, margin guidance reaffirmed.

Neutral

20%

Flat

Results align with consensus, no FY2026 margin upgrades.

Miss

-5-7%

Tariffs/transition costs erode margins, backlog growth <15%

Strong Miss

-15%+

Major guidance cut or partnership delays with NVIDIA.

Unlock Free Scenario Probability

Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

AI/data center demand + backlog growth (+21% YoY) support sales upside.

EPS

Beat

Cost controls and operational efficiency offset tariff impacts, aiding margins.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Fact Data Analysis:

AI/Data Center Demand:

Vertiv’s partnership with NVIDIA on 800 VDC power architectures for AI factories (engineering readiness achieved) and acquisition of Waylay (AI-driven automation software) reinforce its leadership in data center infrastructure. Strong demand for AI-related infrastructure is a tailwind for organic sales growth.
Analysts (Citi, Deutsche Bank, Oppenheimer) highlight robust data center demand as a key driver, aligning with Vertiv’s backlog growth (+21% YoY), which supports future revenue visibility.

Margin Management:

Tariffs remain a headwind, but multiple analysts (RBC Capital, JPMorgan) note they are "manageable." Vertiv’s appointment of a new procurement officer (Patrick Grainey) and focus on cost optimization could mitigate margin pressure. The full-year Adjusted Operating Margin target of 20% appears achievable.

Free Cash Flow & Guidance:

Free Cash Flow trends improved in H1 2025, and Vertiv raised its full-year guidance. Operational efficiency from Waylay’s automation platform could further support cash flow generation.

Leadership Transition Risks:

Retirement of the EMEA president and CFO succession (Craig Chamberlin from Wabtec) introduce execution risks, but structured transitions and retained consulting roles minimize near-term disruption.
Market Expectations vs. Reality:
The stock’s 29.5% rally since last quarter (vs. S&P 500 + 5.5%) reflects high expectations. However, Fact Data suggests Vertiv is executing on AI/data center growth and cost discipline, likely delivering a Beat on revenue and EPS. A "Strong Beat" is less probable given valuation concerns (Morgan Stanley, GLJ Research).

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Bullish Play (60% Probability):
- Buy Oct 2025 $180 Calls ahead of earnings (leverage Beat scenario).
- Pair with Nov 2025 $160 Puts (hedge against leadership transition risks).
Neutral/Volatility Play:
- Sell Oct 2025 $185 Calls and $165 Puts (strangle) to capitalize on elevated IV.
  Rationale: High upside skew (Beat/Strong Beat: 70% combined) favors long calls, but hedging is critical given valuation sensitivity.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

VRT Transcript

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Presents at Baird 55th Annual Global Industrial Conference Transcript

Neutral11-11

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive10-22

The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, strategic market positioning, and optimistic guidance. Despite some uncertainties in Europe and challenges with tariffs, the company is on track to achieve its long-term margin targets. The raised guidance, strategic partnerships, and growth in service and equipment orders indicate a positive outlook. The market's response is expected to be positive, with potential for stock price appreciation in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Presents At Morgan Stanley's 13th Annual Laguna Conference (Transcript)

Neutral9-10

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) Presents At Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference (Transcript)

Neutral9-9

VRT Report

Vertiv Holdings Co 10-K

10-K

2025-02-18

Vertiv Holdings Co 10-Q

10-Q

2024-10-25

Vertiv Holdings Co 10-Q

10-Q

2024-07-26

Vertiv Holdings Co 10-Q

10-Q

2023-10-27

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vertiv Holdings Co FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 22, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Vertiv Holdings Co FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 2.59B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for Vertiv Holdings Co's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Vertiv Holdings Co FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forVertiv Holdings Co's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 22, 2025. Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv is expected to outperform market expectations due to strong AI/data center demand and effective cost management, likely resulting in a Beat on revenue and EPS.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade VRT Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 22, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Vertiv Holdings Co FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!