Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction

07/22 04:00:00

After Hours

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/22 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 4.32B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.32 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

4.32B

4.45B

+3.08%

EPSBEAT

1.32

1.41

+6.82%

AI Summary

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q2

Earnings Date: Jul 22, 2025

The earnings forecast for the company indicates a neutral outcome, balancing positive cyclical recovery against risks such as U.S.-China tensions and elevated operating expenses.

Neutral

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

20%

+5-8%

Faster-than-expected industrial recovery + gross margin expansion.

Beat

30%

+2-4%

Modest revenue beat from AI/data center demand + stable expenses.

Neutral

30%

Flat

In-line results with no major surprises on China/inventory.

Miss

15%

-3-5%

Weak industrial demand + China export policy headwinds.

Strong Miss

-8-10%

Severe inventory writedowns + margin contraction.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Neutral

Cyclical recovery in industrial markets vs. China risk and cautious inventory management.

EPS

Neutral

Higher operating expenses from fab investments offsetting marginal revenue upside.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification:

Revenue: Mixed signals from Fact Data. Positive cyclical recovery signs (Bernstein, Citi) and AI-driven power architecture demand (Nvidia partnership) could support revenue. However, U.S.-China trade tensions and China’s competitive risks (TD Cowen, Wells Fargo) may offset gains.
EPS: Gross margins remain under pressure due to ongoing $60B U.S. fab investments (higher operating expenses). Citi notes potential upside from analog sales, but cost controls (Argus) are critical.
Inventory/Cash Flow: Inventory levels remain elevated, suggesting cautious demand forecasting.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Options Straddle: Buy July 22 expiry calls (strike $220) and puts (strike $210) to capitalize on volatility given mixed signals.
Short-Term Bearish Hedge: Sell calls or buy puts targeting downside if China risks materialize (supports Seaport’s $130 target).
Long-Term Hold: TXN’s U.S. fab investments position it for domestic semiconductor leadership, but wait for clearer margin trends.

Rationale: High expectations (33% stock outperformance) require significant beats to justify further upside, but Fact Data lacks conclusive evidence. Neutral outcome most likely, with asymmetric risk skewed to the downside.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

TXN Transcript

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Unknown10-21

The earnings call reveals a stable quarter with mixed signals. Strong automotive and data center growth offsets slowing industrial growth. EPS guidance is weak, but restructuring and strategic R&D investments suggest long-term potential. The Q&A highlights management's reluctance to give detailed guidance, raising uncertainty. Overall, the stock is likely to remain neutral, with no significant positive or negative catalysts.

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Presents At Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral9-10

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Presents at Citi's 2025 Global Technology, Media and Telecommunications Conference Transcript

Neutral9-4

TXN Report

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 10-K

10-K

2025-02-14

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 10-Q

10-Q

2024-10-23

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 10-Q

10-Q

2024-07-24

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 10-Q

10-Q

2024-04-24

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Texas Instruments Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 22, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Texas Instruments Inc FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 4.32B in revenue and an EPS of 1.32 for Texas Instruments Inc's FY2025Q2.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Texas Instruments Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forTexas Instruments Inc's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 22, 2025. Texas Instruments Inc The earnings forecast for the company indicates a neutral outcome, balancing positive cyclical recovery against risks such as U.S.-China tensions and elevated operating expenses.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade TXN Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 22, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Texas Instruments Inc FY2025Q2?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!