S&P Global Inc (SPGI) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

10/30 04:00:00

Pre-Market

S&P Global Inc (SPGI) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/30 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 3.83B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 4.40 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

3.83B

3.89B

+1.64%

EPSBEAT

4.40

4.73

+7.50%

AI Summary

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Oct 30, 2025

The earnings forecast predicts a strong beat due to robust debt issuance recovery, strategic acquisitions, and market intelligence growth.

Strong Beat

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

45%

+8-12%

Revenue growth >5% above consensus + guidance raise for FY2025.

Beat

35%

+3-7%

Revenue modestly beats + EPS in line with raised FY guidance.

Neutral

15%

Flat

Subdued commentary on Energy Transition segment offsets core division strength.

Miss

-4-6%

Unexpected margin contraction in Market Intelligence division.

Strong Miss

N/A

No evidence supporting this outcome.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Strong Beat

Debt issuance recovery (+17% YoY) and Market Intelligence growth exceed muted consensus expectations.

EPS

Beat

Margin expansion in core divisions offsets short-term dilution from With Intelligence acquisition.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Strong Debt Issuance Momentum: Multiple analysts (Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo) highlight 17% YoY growth in rated issuance, driven by high-yield bonds and leveraged loans. This directly addresses the key concern about billed issuance recovery (linked to Ratings division revenue). Consensus likely underestimated the rebound in capital markets activity.
Strategic Acquisitions & Partnerships:

Acquisition of With Intelligence ($ 1.8B) strengthens private markets data capabilities, supporting subscription revenue growth.
Collaborations with IBM (watsonx AI) and Google Cloud enhance AI-driven insights, improving operational efficiency and customer retention.

Market Intelligence Division Catalyst: Analysts (Clear Street, Morgan Stanley) expect re-acceleration in this division due to new product launches (e.g., S&P Digital Markets 50 Index) and AI integration, driving revenue growth and margin expansion.
Margin Resilience: Despite short-term GAAP dilution from M&A, adjusted EPS accretion projections by 2027 and cost synergies from partnerships signal operational discipline.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Stock: Buy pre-earnings. Stock has underperformed S&P 500 (-12.11% vs +7.35%), creating asymmetric upside if Strong Beat materializes.
Options: Long Oct 2025 $500 calls (capitalize on volatility) or bull put spreads (e.g., $450/$470).
Hedge: Pair with short positions in FactSet (FDS), which faces AI competition risks per Wells Fargo.

Key Risk: GAAP EPS dilution from M&A could spook short-term traders, but long-term fundamentals remain robust.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

SPGI Transcript

S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Presents at Goldman Sachs 2025 U.S. Financial Services Conference Transcript

Neutral12-9

S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Presents at J.P. Morgan 2025 Ultimate Services Investor Conference Transcript

Neutral11-18

S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive10-30

The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance across multiple divisions, with significant revenue growth in Commodity Insights, Mobility, and Indices. The Q&A section highlights positive sentiment towards AI-driven growth and productivity, strong Ratings business outlook, and strategic partnerships enhancing Private Markets growth. Despite some unclear responses, overall guidance and market strategy appear optimistic. The positive sentiment is reinforced by strong adjusted operating margins and a stable subscription model. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to move positively, although the lack of market cap information limits precision.

S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Presents At Barclays 23rd Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Neutral9-9

SPGI Slides

S&P Global Q2 2025 slides: 6% revenue growth drives raised full-year guidance

2025-07-31

S&P Global Q3 2025 slides: Revenue up 9%, raises full-year guidance

2025-10-30

SPGI Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the S&P Global Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

S&P Global Inc (SPGI) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 30, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for S&P Global Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 3.83B in revenue and an EPS of 4.40 for S&P Global Inc's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for S&P Global Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Strong Beat forS&P Global Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 30, 2025. S&P Global Inc The earnings forecast predicts a strong beat due to robust debt issuance recovery, strategic acquisitions, and market intelligence growth.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade SPGI Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 30, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like S&P Global Inc FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!