Radian Group Inc (RDN) Earning Prediction
Radian Group Inc (RDN) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/18 17:17:00 ET in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 298.30M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.11 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
RDN Transcript
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with record-high insurance in-force and net premiums. The Q&A reveals optimism about future ROE improvements and strategic divestitures. Despite some unanswered questions, the company's liquidity and dividend plans are robust. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive prediction of 2% to 8% stock price increase.
The earnings call reflects strong fundamentals, with record high insurance in force, stable revenues, and effective expense management. Share repurchases and dividends indicate robust shareholder returns. Despite some uncertainties in regulatory impacts and revenue volatility, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics and operational efficiency. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, and the lack of guidance is offset by optimistic growth avenues, leading to a prediction of a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a generally positive outlook: strong financial performance with a 12.6% ROE, increased book value, and a significant share repurchase plan. Despite lower new insurance written, persistency rates are high, and defaults are decreasing. Management shows confidence in capital returns and maintains a stable PMIERs cushion. However, uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment and unclear guidance on Holdco liquidity threshold are minor concerns. Given the market cap of $4.6 billion, the stock is likely to experience a positive price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased net income, EPS, and book value per share. Shareholder returns are robust with significant dividends and share repurchases. Despite competitive pressures and some investment risks, the company's operational efficiency and low loss ratio are positive indicators. The Q&A reveals no major concerns, and management's avoidance of specific guidance is not unusual. Given the market cap of $4.6 billion, the stock is likely to see a positive reaction, but not overwhelmingly so, hence a rating of 'Positive' (2% to 8%).
RDN Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Radian Group Inc {quarter} Earnings Release Date and Time?
Radian Group Inc (RDN) is scheduled to release its {quarter} earnings report on Feb 18, 2026, After Hours (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Radian Group Inc {quarter} Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 298.30M in revenue and an EPS of 1.11 for Radian Group Inc's {quarter}.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Radian Group Inc {quarter} Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a {conclusion} for Radian Group Inc's {quarter} earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 18, 2026. Radian Group Inc {summary}
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade RDN Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Feb 18, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Radian Group Inc {quarter}?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
